Oscars predictions update: Experts stick with ‘Boyhood,’ Michael Keaton, Julianne Moore, …

The 21 members of our Oscars Experts panel have updated their predictions in light of the recently concluded New York filmfest, which included well-received screenings of a slew of top contenders — “Birdman,” “Foxcatcher,” “Gone Girl,” “Inherent Vice,” “Mr. Turner” and “Whiplash” — as well as advance word on two more hot prospects (“American Sniper” and “Unbroken“). 

Click here to see charts revealing how all of our Experts rank the contenders in all top categories according to the likelihood of winning. And click on each underlined category below to see the individual Experts predictions for that race. Then make your own predictions here. Be the best and win bragging rights AND $1,000. 

Best Picture
Even with all the new ponies in the derby, nine Experts still expect “Boyhood” to win this race. As you can see from the graph at the bottom of the post, this innovative look at the life of a child as told in real-time over a dozen years has led the race since its release this summer. 

The other Experts are split as follows: “Unbroken” (4); “The Imitation Game” (3); “Birdman” (2); “Foxcatcher” (1); “Gone Girl” (1); and “Interstellar” (1). 

Best Director
Remaning far out in front is Richard Linklater (“Boyhood”) who has racked up the support of 11 Experts for his labor of love.

The rest of the race breaks down as follows: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (“Birdman”) has five votes, Bennett Miller (“Foxcatcher”) has two and Angelina Jolie (“Unbroken”), Christopher Nolan (“Interstellar”) and Morten Tyldum (“The Imitation Game”) have one apiece. 

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Best Actor
Michael Keaton (“Birdman”) now has nine Experts backing him to win his first Oscar bid for his performance as a has-been actor hoping to stage a comeback in this sly satire on showbiz.

Four Experts are touting Eddie Redmayne (“The Theory of Everything“) while another three like the looks of Steve Carell (“Foxcatcher”), three go for Benedict Cumberbatch (“The Imitation Game”) and one is predicting an upset by David Oyelowo (“Selma“). 

Best Actress
Julianne Moore (“Still Alice“) has widened her lead with an even dozen Experts expecting her to finally win an Oscar after four losses for her work as a college professor dealing with a diagnosis of early Alzheimer’s disease.

Three Experts forecast 2005 champ Reese Witherspoon (“Wild“) to pick up a bookend while another three expect Amy Adams (“Big Eyes“) to prevail with bid #6, two tout Rosamund Pike (“Gone Girl“) and one is backing Felicity Jones (“The Theory of Everything”). 

Compare these with what our Editors are predicting to win Oscars 

Best Supporting Actor
J.K. Simmons (“Whiplash“) now has 14 Experts in his corner predicing him to win on his first Oscar bid for his scene-stealing role as a demanding music teacher in this Sundance sensation. 

Trailing far back are three past nominees: Mark Ruffalo (“Foxcatcher”) with three, Edward Norton (“Birdman”) with three and Ethan Hawke (“Boyhood) with one Expert.  

Best Supporting Actress
Patricia Arquette (“Boyhood”) is looking like a lock this year with 18 Experts predicting her to prevail for her portrayal of the mother at the heart of this family drama.

The only other contenders with any support are: Laura Dern (“Wild”) with two and Emma Stone (“Birdman”) with one Expert. 

Compare these with what our Top 24 Users are predicting to win Oscars 

Click on the graph to see more stats and then make your own predictions for Best Picture at the bottom of this post using our easy drag-and-drop menu. 

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