Oscar predictions: 30 Experts give ’12 Years a Slave’ 8-to-15 odds to win Best Picture

12 Years a Slave” gets 8-to-15 odds to win the Oscar for Best Picture, according to Gold Derby’s survey of 30 experts from IMDB, Yahoo, Hollywood Reporter, Entertainment Weekly, Reuters, Associated Press and other top media. Twenty-two of the pundits pick “Slave” and eight opt for “Gravity,” which gets 15-to-5 odds. In third place is “American Hustle” with 50-to-1 odds.

See odds and rankings in all 24 categories here and the experts’ individual picks category per category here.

All 30 Oscarologists pick Alfonso Cuaron (“Gravity“) to prevail as Best Director, giving him 1-to-10 odds. There’s also unanimous agreement in the races for Best Actress (Cate Blanchett in “Blue Jasmine“) and Supporting Actor (Jared Leto in “Dallas Buyers Club“) with both getting 1-to-10 odds.

Nearly all Oscar seers (29) say Matthew McConaughey (“Dallas Buyers Club“) will triumph as Best Actor, giving him 1-to-10 odds. I’m the sole hold-out for Leonardo DiCaprio (“The Wolf of Wall Street“), putting him at 20-to-1 odds.

Pundits believe there’s more of a battle over Best Supporting Actress with 25 prognosticators fighting for Lupita Nyongo (“12 Years a Slave“) at 2-to-7 odds and 5 backing Jennifer Lawrence (“American Hustle“) at 9-to-2 odds.

What do you think is going to win Best Picture? Vote below using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Come back and change your predictions as often as you like till Oscar night, March 2.

4 thoughts on “Oscar predictions: 30 Experts give ’12 Years a Slave’ 8-to-15 odds to win Best Picture

  1. Dominic, I think King’s and Social were similarly split among pundits. 2006, Departed and Little Miss Sunshine. So maybe once every 4 years, it’s semi-unpredictable?

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