Podcast: Thom Geier reveals why Oscar will bow to ‘Slave’

Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly) was the first Oscarologist on the planet to put “12 Years a Slave” in the top spot of Best Picture predictions. Five months later he has it there now and he explains why in our podcast chat.

“I saw the movie a little bit earlier than a lot of other people did and I just knew right away that this was the kind of prototypical Oscar movie with the heft, the seriousness of purpose and a really moving story well told,” he explains. “It felt like pure Oscar bait so it planted it flag early as the contender to beat. A couple other things bubbled up since then  – ‘Gravity,’ ‘American Hustle‘ and ‘The Wolf of Wall Street‘ – but I think it still stands as the prototypical Oscar movie of the year.”

But can any of those rivals now beat “12 Years a Slave“?

“It becomes a numbers game,” he replies. “The Best Picture race is the only one with the weighted voting system. There could be an upset in this category. It wouldn’t shock me. I think it is a tight race between ‘12 Years a Slave,’ ‘Gravity’ and ‘American Hustle’ and where ’12 Years’ is put on the ballot – at number 1, 2, 3 or 4 – will make all the difference in the world in terms of who is called to the podium at the end of the night.”

See Geier’s full predictions here. Listen to our chat below and make your own predictions. Hear more Gold Derby podcasts at our main page at iTunes.

 

 

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