Not surprisingly, the Screen Actors Guild Awards is the best precursor of the lineup in the four acting categories at the Oscars. Last year, 14 of the 20 SAG nominees went on to reap Oscar bids and it foresaw all four winners. In 2012 it also went 14 for 20 while in 2011 it was 17 out of 20. In both of those years, three of the four SAG champs took home Oscars.
However, the guild is less reliable when predicting Best Picture. In the 19-year history of the Best Ensemble award, that winner went on to take Oscar’s top prize only nine times. However, SAG did presage two of Oscar’s biggest upsets: “Shakespeare in Love” over “Saving Private Ryan” in 1998, and “Crash” over “Brokeback Mountain” in 2005.
Below, our predictions for Wednesday’s nominees in the five film races. Our forecasted champs are in gold while potential spoilers for nominations are in italics.
Click on each category title to be taken to an overview of that race (And be sure to check out the breakdown by picture here.)
What do you think will win Best Film Ensemble. Vote below using our easy drag-and-drop menu.