SAG Awards nominations preview: ‘Boyhood, Michael Keaton, Julianne Moore, …

Not surprisingly, the Screen Actors Guild Awards is the best precursor of the lineup in the four acting categories at the Oscars. Last year, 14 of the 20 SAG nominees went on to reap Oscar bids and it foresaw all four winners. In 2012 it also went 14 for 20 while in 2011 it was 17 out of 20. In both of those years, three of the four SAG champs took home Oscars. 

However, the guild is less reliable when predicting Best Picture. In the 19-year history of the Best Ensemble award, that winner went on to take Oscar’s top prize only nine times. However, SAG did presage two of Oscar’s biggest upsets: “Shakespeare in Love” over “Saving Private Ryan” in 1998, and “Crash” over “Brokeback Mountain” in 2005.

Below, our predictions for Wednesday’s nominees in the five film races. Our forecasted champs are in gold while potential spoilers for nominations are in italics. 

Click on each category title to be taken to an overview of that race (And be sure to check out the breakdown by picture here.)

The Grand Budapest Hotel
Into the Woods” 

Spoiler: “The Imitation Game” or “Selma” 

Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher
Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game#”
Michael Keaton, “Birdman”
David Oyelowo, “Selma
Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything

Spoiler: Timothy Spall, “Mr. Turner

Amy Adams, “Big Eyes
Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything
Julianne Moore, “Still Alice
Rosamund Pike, “Gone Girl
Reese Witherspoon, “Wild

Spoiler: Hilary Swank, “The Homesman” 

Robert Duvall, “The Judge
Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood” 
Edward Norton, “Birdman”
Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher”
J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash” 

Spoiler: Josh Brolin, “Inherent Vice” 

Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood”
Laura Dern, “Wild
Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game”
Emma Stone, “Birdman”
Meryl Streep, “Into the Wood”

Spoiler: Jessica Chastain, “A Most Violent Year” 

What do you think will win Best Film Ensemble. Vote below using our easy drag-and-drop menu. 

3 thoughts on “SAG Awards nominations preview: ‘Boyhood, Michael Keaton, Julianne Moore, …

  1. A few performances I think are being overhyped: Steve Carell (so good, but I suspect he’s in trouble), Reese Witherspoon (the buzz on her seems lukewarm), Robert Duvall (huh?), Ethan Hawke (frankly, I don’t think the guy’s likeable enough). I’m predicting a Marion Cotillard sneak-in, as well as…wait for it…a Ralph Fiennes shocker.

  2. Ensemble is never a prediction for best picture by logic – it’s an acting award for the cast, whereas the Oscar Best Picture is voted by the entire academy in which all technicians, directors and producers combine to outnumber the acting branch.

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