Not surprisingly, the Screen Actors Guild Awards is one of the best precursors as to who will win the four acting categories at the Oscars. In their 19-year history, these kudos have previewed 52 of the 76 Oscar winners for acting. Both last year and in 2011, SAG winners went three for four at the Oscars.
The guild is less reliable when predicting Best Picture. In the 18-year history of the Best Ensemble award, that winner went on to take Oscar’s top prize only nine times. However, seven of those were in the last 11 years, including last year’s win by “Argo.”
And, in good news for “American Hustle,” SAG did presage two of Oscar’s biggest upsets: “Shakespeare in Love” over “Saving Private Ryan” in 1998, and “Crash” over “Brokeback Mountain” in 2005.
“American Hustle” is predicted to win both of its bids while the men of “Dallas Buyers Club” are forecast to take home both awards and Cate Blanchett (“Blue Jasmine”) is going to need to make room on her already crowded mantle.
Our forecasted champs are in gold while potential spoilers are in italics. Click on each category title to be taken to an overview of that race.
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