Our Grammy predictors are expecting a big year for Sam Smith. He’s the only artist who will be nominated in all four general-field categories according to our racetrack odds: Album of the Year, Record of the Year, Song of the Year, and Best New Artist. And the 22-year-old crooner is the heavy favorite to win New Artist prize. Will he be this year’s biggest success story?
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Only nine previous artists have been nominated in all four general-field races in the same year:
Out of those nine, only one lost the Best New Artist prize: India.Arie was defeated by Alicia Keys, who was nominated that year in three general-field races, missing Album of the Year.
Smith gets 13/8 odds to win New Artist, ahead of Australian hip-hop star Iggy Azalea. Smith would be the fourth straight male act to win the award, which has historically favored solo female artists. And he’s well positioned to spoil in the other three top races too. His debut studio album, “In the Lonely Hour,” ranks third in our Album of the Year predictions with 9/1 odds, trailing Beyonce‘s self-titled disc and Jack White‘s “Lazaretto.”
He’s an even bigger threat for Record of the Year, ranking second with 10/3 odds for his single “Stay with Me,” which has sold more than three-million copies. There, he ranks second to Pharrell Williams‘s “Happy.”
“Stay with Me” also ranks second for Song of the Year getting 3/1 odds to upset the frontrunner, the Oscar-winning “Let It Go” from “Frozen,” written by EGOT-champ Robert Lopez and his wife Kristen Anderson-Lopez.
Do you think Smith will sweep the Grammys? Use our drag-and-drop menu below to predict Best New Artist.