Are we crazy for underestimating ‘Silicon Valley’ at the Emmys?

Our odds have HBO’s freshman laffer “Silicon Valley” down in ninth place for Best Comedy Series at this year’s Emmys but the paycaster has a history of pulling off surprises in this race. Just two years ago, it reaped bids for a pair of first-time contenders — “Veep” and “Girls” — which we had ranked eighth and tenth respectively. 

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Both of those shows also contended last year. This time around, “Veep” sits in second place on our chart. However, seventh-ranked “Girls” is likely to be left off the roster of nominees announced this Thursday. That Lena Dunhamled laffer has been shut out of all the precursor guild prizes and was snubbed the Television Critics Assn. as well. 

Silicon Valley” is positioned much as these two shows were back in 2012.

Like them, it was well-reviewed, with a score of 84 at Metacritic (the first season of “Veep had 72 while that of “Girls” got 87). 

Like that first year of “Veep,” it debuted in April, just weeks before Emmy voting began. And it was scheduled after the highly-rated “Game of Thrones” so may have gotten a boost in viewership. 

Also like “Veep,” its first season had just eight episodes. Such shorter seasons are becoming more accepted by the TV academy. Indeed, “Breaking Bad,” “Mad Men” and “True Detective” are pegged for Best Drama Series bids this year despite airing only seven or eight episodes. 

As with “Girls,” “Silicon Valley” may be young and hip but that hasn’t worked against the former. Indeed, the paycaster has repeatedly surmounted this bias, reaping bids for such shows as “Flight of the Conchords” and “Entourage” while such fare from other networks — including 2012 CCTA champ “Community” and TCA nominees “Everybody Hates Chris” (2006), “Party Down” (2010) and “New Girl” (2013) — was snubbed by the TV academy. 

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And “Silicon Valley” is similar to “Entourage” in that both are about an ungrateful group of exceedingly wealthy young men in California who are in over their heads. However, the first season of “Entourage” was not as well-received as “Silicon Valley,” earning a score of only 69 at Metacritic. It did not find its stride until the third season, when it picked up the first of three consecutive Best Comedy Series nominations. 

Do you think “Silicon Valley” will reap a Best Comedy Series bid? Use the easy drag-and-drop menu below to make your predictions in this race. 

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