‘Survivor’ predictions: Why we think Baylor Wilson can (and should) win the $1 million

Here at Gold Derby, our Editors often engage in lively battles and strong disagreements over who’s out front to win reality TV and awards shows. That’s why it’s so strange to see Editor Matt Noble and I actually in agreement for once. When it comes to the current 29th season of “Survivor: San Juan del Sur,” we both think that 20-year-old Baylor Wilson, a student at Belmont University, has what it takes to be the ultimate Survivor and win the $1 million prize.

If Baylor does claim victory, she will join the ranks of only 12 other female winners. Compare that total to the 16 male winners who’ve won and it’s clear women are outnumbered on the list of who’s outwitted, outplayed and outlasted over the past 28 seasons. (See our complete photo gallery of past “Survivor” winners below.)

Psst: Here’s how to predict reality TV shows and win bragging rights AND prizes!

Marcus: Hey Matt! (Or should it be “Hey Mate” since you hail from the land Down Under?) “Survivor: San Juan del Sur” is well underway, and oddly enough we are both picking the same person to win the season. Why are you casting your vote for Baylor?

Matt: Having to support her mother, Missy Payne, through relationship hardships has likely given Baylor a life experience and perception that can aid her in the game, despite her youth. She has been able to be on the right side off all her votes (despite some close calls). If she makes the merge she will not be perceived as a threat if she can get to the merge and will have options to work with people on the other tribe.

Marcus: Baylor was actually my initial pick before I watched the premiere. I got a good feeling about her when I watched her intro video at CBS.com. How many weeks/episodes have you been picking Baylor to win?

Matt: I picked her after the first episode. Seeing her work with the women but then switching to vote with the men and work with Josh Canfield showed a malleability and perception that appeared promising.

Marcus: In the second episode, Baylor was almost voted off in that tie vote against Val Collins, but luckily she survived during the re-vote. Does the fact that she’s been so close to elimination help her or hurt her?

Matt: There could be a tribe switch soon, so the numbers are going to shift anyway. The big plus is that the tie vote should keep her awake and she’ll be more on her guard going forward into the game.

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Marcus: Something I keep coming back to is the fact that the last time “Survivor” did the Blood vs. Water twist, a daughter (Ciera) ended up voting out her mother (Laura) to help her go further in the game. Do you think Baylor could actually vote out her mom Missy if it came down to it?

Matt: I think she would and like Ciera she’d probably tell her mum beforehand to avoid a blindside. It will no doubt be a hard decision to make for her.

Marcus: Final thoughts: If Baylor ends up being eliminated this week, who will be your new #1 pick to win?

Matt: It will largely depend on how the upcoming tribe swap turns out, but Josh has been shown to be making moves and has a good handle of the game, so him.

Marcus: I agree that Josh would the frontrunner if Baylor is voted out. Ugh, how boring of us to keep agreeing with each other!

Our Top 30 craziest, most inventive ideas for ‘Survivor’ Season 30

It’s time for you to take on other fans of “Survivor” and show them how it’s done by predicting who will win this season, who’ll be voted out next, and which tribe will win Reward and/or Immunity.

Get these questions right and you could find yourself on our leaderboard next week. Knock me off of my perch and show everyone you are the true champ when it comes to predicting the outcome of “Survivor: San Juan del Sur.”

Show us that you have what it takes to win the cutthroat reality competition here at Gold Derby and win our prizes, including a $100 Amazon gift certificate and your chance to do webchats or phone interviews with the eliminated castaways.

To get started, click here or scroll down and make your first prediction using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Don’t worry, you can keep changing your predictions right up until show time. But we urge you not to wait till then. 

Why? Because your predictions will factor into our official racetrack odds that are pored over by other “Survivor” fans and TV execs who want to know which castaways you love and hate, who you want to win and who you are desperate to see get a send-off. 

What do you think will happen next? Can the Coyopa tribe win Immunity again now that they’ve finally succeeded at a challenge? Will Jon Misch or Julie McGee be voted off, like our racetrack odds predict? Is Jeremy Collins still your frontrunner to win Season 29?

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Among those predicting last week’s results, our user seano25 scored the most points for Episode 4. Second place was benutty and third place went to Ryan Lapierre.

To enter your predictions, make sure you are logged into your Gold Derby account or register for a free account via Facebook, Twitter or Google. After logging in, click on the “Predictions” button found at the top-right of every page. That will bring you to a list of every event currently being predicted at Gold Derby.

We are forecasting everything from the results on reality TV shows like “The Amazing Race,” “Dancing with the Stars” and “Project Runway” to the body count on “The Walking Dead” to the winners of the Oscars, Golden Globes and Grammys. 

Click on any box to bring up that event, then scroll down to start making your predictions. For each TV show, cast your votes on several different questions relating to the upcoming episode.

To vote for who think will win, drag contestants over from the left to the right and arrange them in your predicted order of finishing. For example, if you think Jeremy will win Season 29, make sure you put him in first place. You can continue to update and change your predictions throughout the week, just click “Save Predictions” when you’ve settled on your choice.

Every time someone logs their predictions, the racetrack odds of the contestants are automatically updated. If the majority of users think Baylor will win, that means she’ll have the best odds and will go to the front of the pack. Conversely, the castaways who don’t receive many votes of confidence have the worst odds and will go to the bottom of the pile.

Watch all of our ‘Survivor’ Slugfests:
#29.00 ‘Preshow Smackdown’ | #29.01 ‘Suck It Up and Survive’
#29.02 ‘Method to This Madness’ | #29.03 ‘Actions vs. Accusations’
#24.04 ‘We’re a Hot Mess’

The standard bet for each question is 100 points, which are wagered against the odds you locked in when you saved your predictions. However, for each TV episode you are given one special 200 point bet that you can use strategically to gain more points.

Here’s how racetrack odds work. If you bet 100 on something that has 50/1 odds and you end up being correct, you will receive 50 x 100 points, which equals 5,000 points. You’ll also get your original 100 points back, for a total of 5,100 points.

Get started by making your prediction as to which of the remaining players will end up as the winner of “Survivor” using our easy drag-and-drop menu below our Editors’ slugfest on Episode 4.

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