While “The Good Wife” was limited to just four Emmy nominations last year (with a win for Guest Actress Carrie Preston) for its fourth season, it is poised to make a major comeback at this year’s awards according to Gold Derby’s latest racetrack odds.
The CBS series, which is on a creative upswing, defied expectations and snagged a Drama Series bid at this year’s Golden Globes after a three-year absence. Arguably, that was a bigger hurdle to jump considering the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. usually shows disdain for older series.
Currently, “The Good Wife” enjoys odds of 16/1 to reap its first Best Drama Series bid at the Emmys since its second season. Those odds put it in sixth place behind reigning champ “Breaking Bad” (15/8 odds), “House of Cards” (4/1 odds), “Game of Thrones” (15/2 odds), four-time winner “Mad Men” (12/1 odds) and “Downton Abbey” (14/1 odds).
The 2012 champ “Homeland” — which struggled this season with fans and critics — has odds of only 25/1, which puts it out of the running. (Make your predictions in this race at the bottom of this post using our easy drag-and-drop menu.)
Julianna Margulies won the second of her three Best Drama Actress bids in 2011 but was snubbed last year despite there being seven nominees instead of the usual six. Gold Derby’s odds for this year’s Best Drama Actress race have her in fourth place with 10/1 odds, behind “House of Cards” leading lady Robin Wright (12/5 odds), reigning two-time champ from “Homeland” Claire Danes (10/3 odds) and “Scandal” star Kerry Washington (11/2 odds). Rounding out the likely list of contenders are two perennial nominees: from “Mad Men” Elisabeth Moss (12/1 odds) and “Downton Abbey” player Michelle Dockery (33/1 odds).
Christine Baranski is the only “Good Wife” cast member to be nominated for each of the first four seasons; she looks likely to make it five for five as she has 8/1 odds to reap another bid in the Drama Supporting Actress field. That puts her behind only the most recent winners: from 2013 –“Breaking Bad’s” Anna Gunn (9/5 odds) — and 2012 — “Downton Abbey’s” Maggie Smith (7/2 odds). The other three likely nominees are “Game of Thrones'” Emilia Clarke (10/1 odds), “Mad Men’s” Christina Hendricks (10/1 odds) and “Downton Abbey’s” Joanne Froggatt (50/1 odds).
One of the bigger surprises in our racetrack odds is seeing Josh Charles in sixth place for Drama Supporting Actor with 16/1 odds, especially considering the fan favorite has only been nominated once before (2011). Ahead of him on the charts are a pair of past champs — 2010 and 2012 winner Aaron Paul of “Breaking Bad” (2/1 odds) and 2011 winner Peter Dinklage from “Game of Thrones'” (4/1 odds) — as well as two potential first-time nominees — “Breaking Bad” featured player Dean Norris (15/2 odds) and Jon Voight of “Ray Donovan” (8/1 odds) — as well as 2013 nominee Mandy Patinkin of “Homeland” (10/1 odds).
It’s a testament to the show’s creative resurgence that so many people are predicting “The Good Wife” and its cast to reap bids this year. Usually when a series falls out of Emmy’s grace, it’s out of sight, out of mind with TV academy voters.
One recent example to the contrary is “Lost,” which won the Best Drama Series its first season on the air (2005), then got snubbed for the next two years (2006, 2007) until it returned to the drama line-up for the rest of its run (2008-2010).
Below, check out our interview with Josh Charles from earlier this awards season when Rob Licuria and I chatted with him about his Golden Globe nomination.