Almost 500 Gold Derby readers forecasted this year’s Tony champs, logging nearly 10,000 predictions. To see how you fared, log in to your account and under your profile picture click Tony Awards 2014.
Our savviest predictor among our users was Dillon Rosenblatt, who scored 89%, correctly foreseeing the winners in 23 out of 26 races.
The three categories Dillon missed were the same that almost everyone else got wrong: Play Revival, Play Direction, and Play Featured Actress (Sophie Okonedo) wins for “A Raisin in the Sun.” Overall, none of our experts and editors correctly predicted those results, while just 2% of users foresaw its Play Revival and Play Direction wins and 7% anticipated Okonedo’s victory.
Despite Dillon’s dominance, our Experts were the smartest collective predictors, scoring 74%, compared to 67% for Users and 63% for Gold Derby Editors.
Leading all Experts were a trio with 85% accuracy: Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly) and Gold Derby’s Tom O’Neil and Paul Sheehan.
Nine Experts out-predicted our top Editor: me. I scored 70%, followed by Chris Beachum, David Schnelwar, and Marcus James Dixon with 62% each.