Gold Derby’s very own Paul Sheehan was best among our 13 Experts in predicting the 2014 Tony Awards nominations that were announced Tuesday. He achieved 95% correct (essentially a perfect score based on the explanation below).
Michael Musto (Out) was in second place with 90%.
The last spot is held by David Sheward (TheaterLife) at 76%.
The rules allowed for five nominees in three of the four production categories (both Play races and Best Musical) as they were packed with more than nine contenders. However, the vote tally from the 46 members of the nominating committee was only close enough in the Best Play race to merit five nominees. So, anyone who predicted four of those five scored perfect in that category.
Conversely, with only four musical revivals eligible, that category did not need to have a full complement and the remounting of the 1998 production of “Cabaret” was snubbed by the committee. Unfortunately, as our prediction center was set up to expect four nominees in this category, it is not possible to score perfect here. Hence, the slew of users who scored 95% despite predicting ALL the nominees.
Collectively, the Experts were best overall with 85%, followed by the Editors with 78%, and the Users with 74%.