The Academy of Country Music Awards could crown a new winner for Male Vocalist of the Year on Sunday night. In the past eight years, only three men have won the award, and they’re all back in this year’s lineup: Brad Paisley (2006-2010), Blake Shelton (2011) and two-time defending champ Jason Aldean (2012-2013). But none of them will win according to our racetrack odds. Instead, Luke Bryan is the strong favorite to prevail on his third straight nomination.
So who do you think will take home this award?
Be sure to make or update your predictions if you haven’t already. Get the best score predicting the champs in 11 categories at this Sunday’s kudos and you could win a $100 Amazon gift card. (Read our contest rules to see if you qualify.)
Bryan leads the Male Vocalist field with strong 8/15 odds based on support from all five Gold Derby Editors, 12 of our Top 24 Users (those readers who got the best scores predicting last year’s awards) and 59% of all Users. But even though this would be his first victory in this category, he already won the fan-voted Entertainer of the Year prize back in 2012.
Shelton ranks second with 11/2 odds. He’s backed by 22% of Users and five of our Top 24 Users: dwb585, Matthew DiFeo, TDYanks23, Ritchie Hunley and Max. As popular as Shelton is overall thanks to his prominent role as a mentor in “The Voice,” the ACM Awards haven’t embraced him quite as fully as the CMA Awards, where he has won Male Vocalist for the last five years in a row. At the ACMs, Shelton hasn’t won that many awards in all categories put together, and this year he’s only up for one other prize: Vocal Event of the Year (“Lonely Tonight“).
Dierks Bentley hasn’t won a single ACM Award since he prevailed in the New Artist race way back in 2003, but he comes into these awards with an impressive seven nominations, and our predictors rank him third with 10/1 odds. Betting on him are 7% of Users and four of our Top 24 Users: Dehlavi, RichardR, Derek Schultz and Mike_Warren.
Despite winning this category for the last two years, Aldean only has support from 4% of Users and one of our Top 24 Users (ETPhoneHome), giving him distant 33/1 odds.
But that’s better than Paisley gets. Despite winning this race five times, our predictors say he’s out of luck again this year, with support from 4% of Users and no support from Editors or the Top 24 Users. That makes him a long shot with 50/1 odds.
The ACM Awards have gotten progressively harder to predict in recent years. Last year, our overall odds managed a score of 18% while our Top 24 Users did slightly better with 27%. That was down from 2012, when we collectively predicted 36%, and way down from 2011, when we scored 55%. That means all of Gold Derby’s predictors are hoping to make a comeback, and you can help.
If you think you can predict this year’s ACM Awards better then our Editors, Top 24 and Users, click here to enter or edit your picks, or use our easy drag-and-drop menu below to get started. Your picks will be pooled together with the rest of ours to generate the official racetrack odds.
Remember that coming out on top doesn’t just mean predicting the right winners. You also have to use your three big bets (one of 500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a long shot who pulls off an upset you can really rack up the points. As we use those point totals to break ties when more than one user tops our leaderboard with the same number of correct answers, don’t take them for granted.
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