Our top-scoring ‘American Idol’ finale user shares his secret prediction tips

Want to do better in your "American Idol" predictions next year at Gold Derby? Then be sure to heed the prediction tips of Neil Ian C. Arguelles, the user who did the best at scoring last week's Season 14 finale. (Click here to see how you scored the finale. Click here to see how you scored the season overall.)

Our 'American Idol' contest winner reveals why he ditched Clark Beckham for Nick Fradiani

He actually tied with nine other users for the best accuracy, though he broke the tie by having a higher point total (3,660) thanks to locking in the best odds at the right time and using his 500 and 200 point bets wisely. By placing his 500 point bet on Jax coming in third place when she had 4/1 odds, Arguelles reaped an impressive 2,000 point payout. See his complete finale predictions here.

So, how'd he know? Arguelles tells us, "I changed my predictions to be Nick as the winner, Clark as runner-up and Jax as third because I saw how Nick improved each week. And we all know that mostly all the viewers are females and teens. As we look at the past seasons, we all know that a wgwg [white guy with guitar] has a greater chance to win. And I'm a Nick fan.

"We all know Clark was the frontrunner since Day 1, but we saw that he was going downward as Nick continued to emerge each week. And I considered also what he did over the last three weeks as he didn't follow what [mentor] Scott Borchetta wanted him to do.

"And I would have loved Jax to be in the Top 2, but I considered that Clark had a better chance because Clark is from the south, Clark is a male and Clark was the frontrunner of the season. And I saw the fact that Nick and Clark shared the same fans.

"I've watched 'American Idol' since Season 11. This is my favorite season because every finalist was unique in their own way. And honestly, I felt bad when Fox announced that next season will be the last season of 'American Idol'! I wish it will continue to find superstars."

Join the fiery fan discussion in our 'American Idol' forum

Despite the fact that Nick ranked a distant third to win according to Gold Derby's combined predictions, he wound up as this season's recipient of the confetti shower during Wednesday night's finale. At 4/1 odds, only 20% of our users predicted Nick would prevail, making him one of the more surprising winners in the show's 14-year history.

"American Idol" may be over, but we are forecasting everything from the results on TV shows like "The Voice," "Survivor," "Dancing with the Stars" and "Game of Thrones" to the winners of the Emmys and Tonys.

Average Gold Derby users just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it's important that you give us your predictions. You can change them later as often as you like.

Get started by making your prediction as to which castaway will win "Survivor" using our easy drag-and-drop menu below. And be sure to sound off on the current season of "American Idol" in Gold Derby's reality TV forum.

 

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