Just as our Experts are forecasting a Best Picture win for “Boyhood” at the Oscars on Feb. 22, so too do they back its chances at the BAFTAs this coming Sunday (Feb. 8). While “The Grand Budapest Hotel” leads with 11 BAFTA nominations, “Boyhood,” which has just five BAFTA bids, is the pick for Best Pic by all but one of our Experts. That support translates into leading odds of 1/5.
We also expect Richard Linklater to win Best Director for helming this labor of love that stretched out over a dozen years and Patricia Arquette to take home Best Supporting Actress for her 12-year committment to the project. Both are expected to repeat at the Oscars too.
Since the BAFTAs moved up in 2000 to take place while academy members are still voting, these kudos have foreseen eight of the 13 Best Picture Oscar winners, including the last six in a row: “Slumdog Millionaire” (2008), “The Hurt Locker” (2009), “The King’s Speech” (2010), “The Artist” (2011), “Argo” (2012) and “12 Years a Slave” (2013).
Last year, BAFTA awarded “12 Years a Slave” the top prize (but only one other) while “Gravity” claimed six, including Best Director. At the Oscars, “12 Years” also won Best Picture and two more (Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay) while “Gravity” repeated in Director, Cinematography, Score, Sound (twice) and Visual Effects and also took the Editing Oscar (BAFTA winner “Rush” was snubbed in this race). However, it snubbed “Dallas Buyers Club,” which scored Oscars for leading man Matthew McConaughey and supporting player Jared Leto.
In 2012, BAFTA fotetold the Oscar strength of “Argo,” which won Best Picture from both groups. It also gave a boost to “Django Unchained,” which missed out on SAG nominations and was ineligible for the WGA Awards, but won BAFTAs for Supporting Actor (Christoph Waltz) and Original Screenplay (Quentin Tarantino) before repeating in those races at the Oscars.
In 2011, “The Artist” won seven of its leading 12 BAFTA bids — Best Picture, Director & Original Screenplay (Michel Hazanavicius), Actor (Jean Dujardin), Cinematography, Costume Design and Score. It repeated in all these races but screenplay and cinematography at the Oscars.
In 2010, “The King’s Speech” won seven of its 14 BAFTA bids — Picture, Actor (Colin Firth), Supporting Actor (Geoffrey Rush), Supporting Actress (Helena Bonham Carter), Original Screenplay, Score and Best British Film. At the Oscars, it only repeated for Best Picture, Actor and Original Screenplay. While helmer Tom Hooper had been bested at BAFTA by David Fincher (“The Social Network”), he won the Academy Award.
In 2009, “The Hurt Locker” won six of its eight BAFTA bids and repeated at the Oscars for Best Picture, Director (Kathryn Bigelow), Original Screenplay, Editing and Sound. “Avatar” prevailed in just two of its eight BAFTA categories — Production Design and Visual Effects — and also won those at the Oscars as well as Cinematography over BAFTA champ “Hurt Locker.”
And in 2008, “Slumdog Millionaire” won with BAFTA first as did three of the four Oscar acting champs — Kate Winslet (“The Reader”), Heath Ledger (“The Dark Knight”) and Penelope Cruz (“Vicky Christina Barcelona”). BAFTA Best Actor champ Mickey Rourke (“The Wrestler”) lost the Oscar to Sean Penn (“Milk”).
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