On tonight's "Big Brother" the #Austwins alliance will finally be dismantled when either Liz Nolan or Julia Nolan is evicted from the house. If the divisions remain as they appear, Austin Matelson and the remaining twin will be two against the now dominant alliance of Steve Moses, John McGuire and Vanessa Rousso. Unlike Steve and John, though, Vanessa is in the unique position of siding with either alliance, depending on who wins Head of Household. It's with that in mind that I analyze the importance of the Final 5 HOH and how it may affect the rest of the game. Hurry – make your "Big Brother" predictions for a chance to win our $100 Amazon gift certificate. It's fun and easy, so get started by scrolling down to predict who will be evicted next.
In every season, winning HOH at the Final 5 is the most important power position a houseguest can be in — the most obvious reason being that it secures a spot in the Final 4. The apparent downside to winning is that it disqualifies them from competing in the Final 4 HOH, but that isn't actually a problem because at Final 4 the Veto winner is the player that ultimately decides who is evicted that week.
Look at it this way: the Final 4 HOH has to choose two nominees from three people, making it clear (by leaving someone off the block) who they are most closely aligned with. After that, all four houseguests compete for Veto and it's the Veto winner that holds virtually all the power. If one of the three non-HOH players wins then they become the sole vote to evict one of the two nominees, securing their spot in the Final 3 while also choosing which two houseguests they want to compete with in the grueling three-part competition for the final HOH.
So, who should win this week's Final 5 Head of Household competition? We already know Steve is out of the running since he is the outgoing HOH. If John wins, and we know from this week's episodes that he really wants to, it'll be smooth sailing for him and Steve into the Final 4 — and they'll control the vote of who goes home because in the event of a tie this week, the HOH can combine his or her tie-breaking vote with only one other vote to evict the nominee of their choice.
Vanessa, we believe, will throw the competition, avoiding having to choose a side between her two opposing alliances (a smart play on her part). Austin and the remaining twin will be trying their best to win, with the two of them having the numbers advantage over John. If either of them wins they'll secure the power to evict the houseguest of their choice this week.
Check out the overall Season 17 leaderboard to the right. Currently our #1 "Big Brother" predictor is Frederic Lam with overall 89% accuracy and 205,251 points, but there are still many weeks left to play in our contest and be eligible to win our weekly and overall season prizes. See our contest rules.
Making your predictions is fun and easy. Just log into your Gold Derby account, or you can register for a free account via Facebook, Twitter or Google. In our "Big Brother" predictions center, you get to answer the following questions for the rest of the week:
Which houseguest will be evicted?
Who will win 'Big Brother'?
After logging in, click on the "Predictions" button found at the top-right of every page. That will bring you to a list of every event currently being predicted at Gold Derby — everything from the Emmys and Oscars to "The Amazing Race" and "Survivor."
Click on any box and then scroll down to start making your predictions. For each TV show, cast your votes on several different questions relating to the upcoming episode. If you click on the "Big Brother" button, you'll see something like this:
To vote for who you think will be eliminated next, drag your chosen contestant over from the left to the right. Every time someone logs their predictions, the racetrack odds of the contestants are automatically updated.
If the majority of users think Liz will go home, that means she'll have the best odds and will go to the front of the pack. Conversely, the contestants who don't receive many predictions have the worst odds and will go to the bottom of the pile.
Remember that coming out on top doesn't just mean answering that week's questions correctly. You also have to use your three big bets (500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a longshot who pulls off an upset, you can really rack up the points, so don't take them for granted.
Average Gold Derby users just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it's important that you give us your predictions. You can continue to update and change your predictions throughout the week, just click "Save Predictions" when you've settled on your choice.
Get started by making your prediction as to which houseguest will be eliminated next. And be sure to sound off on the current season of "Big Brother" in Gold Derby's reality TV forum.
Photo Credit: CBS