Miranda Lambert already holds the record for most CMA Awards for Female Vocalist of the Year. In 2014 she won her fifth in a row, which broke a three-way tie with Reba McEntire and Martina McBride. Now it looks like Lambert will extend her record to an even half dozen. She leads our predictions with odds of 2/3.
All six of our Editors (the Gold Derby writers who cover awards year-round) are predicting Lambert to win, as are the majority of our Users and 17 of our Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who had the best scores predicting last year's CMAs).
Can anyone beat her?
It might be tough for her competitors, since she is the only woman also nominated for Entertainer of the Year. Her strongest challenger could be Kacey Musgraves, who contends for the third year in a row. Musgraves won New Artist in 2013 and Song of the Year for "Follow Your Arrow" in 2014, and this year she has the added benefit of a new album, "Pageant Material," which is up for Album of the Year. But she trails Lambert with odds of 9/2. Four of our Top 24 Users say she'll pull off the upset.
There's also Carrie Underwood, who is co-hosting the ceremony with Brad Paisley for the eighth year in a row. This is her 10th straight bid for Female Vocalist, a race she won with each of her first three nominations (2006-2008). She hasn't prevailed since then, and her only other nomination this year is Music Video of the Year for "Something in the Water." However, her fifth studio album, "Storyteller," was just released on October 23, which may inspire voters to award their emcee again. As of this writing she gets 15/2 odds and has support from three of our Top 24 Users.
Make your own CMA picks now to the right or at the bottom of this post, and you could win a $100 Amazon gift card as well as a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year's Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year's CMA winners).
Last year, our Editors (Gold Derby's in-house team of writers and prognosticators), Top 24 Users and all Gold Derby Users tied with an accuracy rate of 66.67% when it came to predicting the CMA winners. (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)
Which group will be victorious this year? User Dehlavi got the top score predicting the CMAs last year with a whopping 89% accuracy rate. As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it's important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.
Photo: Miranda Lambert. Credit: Jim Smeal/BEI/REX