The Critics' Choice TV Awards race for Best Comedy Supporting Actress is one of the most confounding if you consider our racetrack odds. Our Top 24 Users, who got the highest scores predicting the last Critics' Choice Awards in May, are divided between five of the six nominees. Our Editors, we staffers who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby, are split three ways. And the two groups don't even agree on the frontrunner.
Judith Light ("Transparent") gets best odds according to our Top 24. As of this writing, 11 of them favor her to win, giving her 2/3 odds: KyleBailey, JB, bondzzz, NateDoggg, RicosMama, victor, TimSimms, sturnc, HayleyQuinn17, Joseph and Tyler G. Of those, it's worth noting that Tyler G had the highest score (66% accuracy) predicting the last Critics' Choice Awards, so pay close attention to his picks.
The Broadcast TV Journalists Association decided to change their schedule to match the Critics' Choice Movie Awards, which are handed out in January, so for one time only these TV kudos only cover programs that aired between June and December.
Light is nominated for the second season of "Transparent," which premiered on Amazon in December. She was also nominated this past May for the first season of the streaming series. She lost that race to Allison Janney ("Mom"), who has won this category twice in a row, but only two of our Top 24 are predicting her to threepeat, giving her 7/1 odds: Mayday Saracen and DAN_QUIXOTE. But even though Janney's supporters are in the minority, DAN_QUIXOTE tied Tyler G for the most accurate predictions in May. Is he onto something?
Two more top users say Niecy Nash ("Getting On") will prevail following her surprise Emmy nomination this past summer, also giving her 7/1 odds: David Howard and Ain't No Elitist. The HBO comedy series concluded on December 13 after three seasons, so enamored TV critics may want to bid the series a fond farewell by honoring Nash.
One of our Top 24, Joel_Zummak, is predicting Eden Sher ("The Middle") will win her second Critics' Choice Award, giving her 14/1 odds. She previously won this award in 2013 and has been nominated five times in all.
One last top user, SimonJupiter, is betting on Mayim Bialik ("The Big Bang Theory"). This is her third consecutive nomination, but she has yet to win. Though SimonJupiter is standing alone on this prediction, he also tied for the most accurate predictions in May, so don't underestimate his insight into this contest.
Our Editors don't agree with our top users' consensus. Three out of six of us – Matt Noble, Paul Sheehan and I – say Nash will win for "Getting On," giving her 10/9 odds. Meanwhile, Chris Beachum and Marcus Dixon expect Sher to repeat, giving her 11/5 odds. Only Rob Licuria agrees with the Top 24 that Light will take the prize, giving her 9/2 odds. None of our Editors are currently predicting Janney, Donohue or Bialik.
Make your Critics' Choice winner predictions starting with Best Comedy Supporting Actress to the right or at the bottom of this post.
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"Transparent" photo credit: Amazon/Everett/REX
"Getting On" photo credit: HBO