According to our early Critics' Choice predictions, Oscar Isaac is the favorite to win Best TV Movie/Miniseries Actor for his role as embattled Yonkers mayor Nick Wasicsko in HBO's fact-based miniseries "Show Me a Hero." But it's not a runaway. He faces tough competition from Patrick Wilson ("Fargo") and Idris Elba ("Luther").
19 of our Top 24 Users – those two dozen folks who had the highest scores predicting the last Critics' Choice TV winners back in May – are betting on Isaac, giving him leading 4/11 odds: aosorio19, KyleBailey, thedemonhog (aka Gold Derby contributor Riley Chow), FNLFan89, Mayday Saracen, DAN_QUIXOTE, JacobJohns, bondzzz, Grant, Tyler The Awesome Guy, Laurw, Random, RicosMama, victor, GusCruz, sturnc, HarleyQuinn17, Joseph and Tyler G.
Of those, DAN_QUIXOTE and Tyler G tied for the top predictions accuracy in May (66%), so it may be wise to heed their forecasts.
Elba is the only actor in this category to have been nominated before, having contended for "Luther" in 2012. The Broadcast Television Journalists Association may also wish to make it up to him after he was snubbed by the Critics' Choice Movie Awards this year for his supporting role in "Beasts of No Nation."
None of our Top 24 are predicting the remaining three nominees in this race: Wes Bentley ("American Horror Story: Hotel") with 66/1 odds, Martin Clunes ("Arthur and George") with 80/1 odds and Vincent Kartheiser ("Saints and Strangers"), also with 80/1 odds.
Our Editors – those of us who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby – are also divided. Out of the six of us, Marcus James Dixon, Rob Licuria, Matt Noble and Paul Sheehan are backing Isaac, giving him 8/13 odds. Meanwhile, Chris Beachum is predicting Elba and I'm betting on Wilson, which gives both of them 5/1 odds.
Make your Critics' Choice winner predictions starting with Best Movie/Mini Actor to the right or at the bottom of this post and earn a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year's Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting the Critics' Choice champs). You can predict all TV categories (comedy, drama, movie/mini, supporting, guest) for this event.
As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it's important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.
"Show Me a Hero" photo credit: HBO