‘Transparent,’ ‘Olive Kitteridge’ will sweep Critics’ Choice TV Awards

Amazon’s dramedy “Transparent” and HBO’s limited series “Olive Kitteridge” will be the top winners at this Sunday’s Critics’ Choice TV Awards according to the combined predictions of our Editors, Top 24 Users (at last year’s awards) and All Users. We’re forecasting them to win three apiece.

(Click here to see our complete predictions by category.)

Who REALLY deserves to win? Debate in our lively forums

Olive Kitteridge” enters the awards tied with the most nominations (five). Of those, we’re expecting it to take Best Limited Series as well as both movie/limited lead-acting races for stars Richard Jenkins and Frances McDormand. It also has a pair of bids for Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor: Bill Murray, who ranks third with 9/2 odds, and Cory Michael Smith, an underdog with 25/1 odds.

Transparent” has four bids and gets best odds in three of those races: Best Comedy Series, Best Comedy Actor for Jeffrey Tambor‘s portrayal of a transgender woman coming out to her adult children, and Best Comedy Guest Performer for Bradley Whitford as Tambor’s cross-dressing confidante. The only category the series is expected to lose is Best Comedy Supporting Actress for Judith Light, who is a close second in that contest with 6/1 odds.

FX drama “Justified” tied “Olive Kitteridge” with five nominations for its sixth and final season, and it will prevail twice: Best Drama Actor (Timothy Olyphant) and Best Drama Supporting Actor (Walton Goggins). It would be the first wins for both men after multiple nominations.

How to Get Away with Murder” is also anticipated to win two awards: Best Drama Actress (Viola Davis) and Best Drama Guest Performer (Cicely Tyson), which are its only nominations.

But the Best Drama Series prize is predicted to go to “The Good Wife.” It would be the first victory in that category for the CBS legal drama despite the fact that it has been nominated for all five years of the Critics’ Choice Awards. The series has only ever won one award out of its 17 previous nominations: Best Drama Actress for Julianna Margulies back in 2011.

Rounding out the drama champs will be Lorraine Toussaint, pegged to win Best Drama Supporting Actress for “Orange is the New Black,” which competes this year as a dramatic series after winning three Critics’ Choice prizes last year as a comedy.

Other comedy winners will be Gina Rodriguez, who will take Best Comedy Actress for “Jane the Virgin” to follow her Golden Globe win in January. Tony Hale will win Best Comedy Supporting Actor for the first time on his second straight nomination for “Veep.” And Allison Janney is poised to repeat as Best Comedy Supporting Actress for “Mom.”

Four-time nominee “Bessie” will only win once, but it’s the big one: Best TV Movie. Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor will go to Jonathan Pryce for PBS’s historical drama “Wolf Hall.” And Sarah Paulson will take Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actress for the second time for “American Horror Story: Freak Show“; she previously won that award in 2013 for “AHS: Asylum.”

Shark Tank” was awarded as Best Reality-Competition Series last year. This time around, Critics’ Choice moved it to the non-competitive Best Reality Series category, and it’s forecast to win again. That will open the door for “The Voice” to win Best Reality-Competition Series for the third time in four years, but we expect Anthony Bourdain to take Best Reality Host for “Anthony Bourdain: No Reservations.”

Daily Show with Jon Stewart” gets best odds for Best Talk Show, which it has won twice before (2011, 2013). Meanwhile, “Archer” is expected to continue its winning streak by taking Best Animated Series for the fourth year in a row.

At last year’s Critics’ Choice Awards, Gold Derby’s Users and Top 24 were right 73.91% of the time, while our Editors trailed with 69.57%.

Why did Critics’ Choice snub past favorites like ‘Game of Thrones’ & ‘Orphan Black’?

Our Users are hoping stay ahead of us again this year, and you can help. If you think you know who will win this year’s Critics’ Choice races, click here to make your predictions. Your picks will be pooled together to generate our official racetrack odds, and if you have this year’s best predictions, you’ll win a $100 Amazon gift card (if you qualify according to our contest rules).

Remember that coming out on top doesn’t just mean answering the week’s questions correctly. You also have to use your three big bets (one of 500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a long shot who pulls off an upset, you can really rack up the points. As we use those point totals to break ties when more than one user tops our leaderboard with the same number of correct predictions, don’t take them for granted.

Last year, our top User was Jacob D., who predicted 83% of the winners. Do you have that kind of special insight into this year’s contest? If so, there’s still time to make your predictions before Sunday’s live telecast. Click here to visit our predictions center, where you can enter your picks, or use the easy drag-and-drop menu at the bottom of this post to get started.

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And meet our previous contest champs. You could join them on our leaderboard.

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