You can win $100 every week predicting who will get the high score, low score, and who will be eliminated on "Dancing With the Stars." It's tough to guess how the judges' scores will fall on any given week since it's a live event, but forecasting the elimination should be a piece of cake because it's partly based on the previous week's scores, right? Not so this season when the lowest scoring contestant has almost always been spared by viewer votes.
As a result, struggling dancers like Robert Herjavec and Chris Soules have stuck around longer than expected, while higher scoring stars have been sent home. I wish "DWTS" would introduce a "Judges' Save" just like "American Idol" so the panel can veto an elimination when America flat-out gets it wrong.
So that's the question: as we approach the semifinals, which ousted contestant would you have saved? Vote in our poll below.
Willow Shields is the most obvious choice. She was consistently one of the season's four best dancers along with actress Rumer Willis, musician Riker Lynch and gymnast Nastia Liukin, who are still in the competition. But even though Shields had earned the second highest score the week before and got 100/1 odds from us to be sent home, voters let her down and she got the boot, so the 14-year-old standout inexplicably finished the competition in seventh place.
But Shields isn't the only one who might have benefitted from a second chance. So could musician Redfoo. He struggled in the season premiere episode, landing at the bottom of the scores with 22 out of 40. But the following week, he shot up into the top five with a score of 31. It was too little, too late, though, as America had decided he should be the first sent home. Who knows how much more he might have improved. He might have remained inconsistent, but he also might have become one of the season's best dancers.
I also think America should have kept Patti LaBelle around a little longer. The 70-year-old singer didn't perform at the level of the season's best dancers, but she had more natural rhythm and showmanship than at least a couple of other contestants who outlasted her.
According to our racetrack odds, military veteran Noah Galloway is next on the chopping block. 46% of users say he'll be eliminated, giving him 6/5 odds. But Lynch isn't safe either: 30% say he'll be sent home, resulting in 23/10 odds.
Do you agree with our odds? Vote in our poll below, then make or update your predictions by dragging contestants from left to right in the order of their likelihood of getting the boot. If you think Galloway will fall just short of the finals, make sure to put him in first place. You can continue to update and change your predictions throughout the week until 5 p.m. PT each Monday. Just click "Save Predictions" when you've settled on your choice.
But remember that coming out on top doesn't just mean answering the week's questions correctly. You also have to use your three big bets (one of 500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a long shot who pulls off an upset, you can really rack up the points. As we use those point totals to break ties when more than one user tops our leaderboard with the same number of correct answers, don't take them for granted.
After logging in, click on the "Predictions" button found at the top-right of every page. That will bring you to a list of every event currently being predicted at Gold Derby.
We are forecasting everything from the results on reality TV shows like "The Amazing Race" and "Survivor" to the winners of Tony Awards and both Daytime and Primetime Emmys.
Click on any box to bring up that event, then scroll down to start making your predictions.
For each TV show, cast your votes on several different questions relating to the upcoming episode. And remember to place your 500 and 200-point bets wisely.