User Denton Davidson admits, "I haven't had my best showing on 'Dancing With the Stars,'" but he still managed to predict the show's semifinals round perfectly. He scored 100% accuracy and 5,840 game points for the week, winning our weekly contest and moving him up to eighth place on our overall predictions leaderboard.
Have you been predicting "DWTS" for a chance to win $100 every week? To prevail in our contest, you just have to have the best score when forecasting who will get the high score; who will get the low score; and who will finish first, second, and third when final results are announced on Tuesday night.
"Truth be told, I also have no chance of winning this season overall, which really allowed me to go in guns blazing and vote for a long shot to go home," says Davidson. "I'm not sure I would have been so confident had I been the overall leader worried about losing my place at the top."
That's part of the reason he decided to predict gymnast Nastia Liukin for elimination even though the odds favored military vet Noah Galloway to get the axe. The other reason was that "I knew Nastia's popularity wasn't that high. My reason for going with Nastia is that I felt [Rumer Willis] and [Riker Lynch] had the majority of the momentum and Noah had the 'heart string' votes of all those people who want to support the military vet with the emotional back story … [Nastia's] story was kind of the least inspirational – I don't think America needed to see another Olympic champion go all the way."
That's exactly what our predictions say. 63% of users say Willis will take the mirror ball trophy, resulting in 4/7 odds. 54% say Lynch will finish second (5/6 odds). And a whopping 71% say Galloway will finish third (2/5 odds).
Will we be proven right, or do you think we're dead wrong? For instance, only 8% of users think Galloway will win, giving him 12/1 odds, but we've been underestimating him all season.
Remember that coming out on top doesn't just mean answering the week's questions correctly. You also have to use your three big bets (one of 500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points (that's how Davidson won last week's contest). If you bet on a long shot who pulls off an upset, you can really rack up the points. As we use those point totals to break ties when more than one user tops our leaderboard with the same number of correct answers, don't take them for granted.
So if you bet 500 points on Galloway at 12/1 odds, that will pay out with an impressive 6,000 points if you're right. That could be the difference between winning our contest and losing. But it's a calculated risk, because you don't score points for a wrong answer, which could knock you out of contention entirely.
When making your predictions, sometimes it pays to be bold, but sometimes it pays to play it safe. Choose wisely.
To enter your predictions for all five questions we're asking, make sure you are logged into your Gold Derby account or register for a free account via Facebook, Twitter or Google.
After logging in, click on the "Predictions" button found at the top-right of every page. That will bring you to a list of every event currently being predicted at Gold Derby.
We are forecasting everything from the results on reality TV shows like "The Amazing Race" and "Survivor" to award shows like the Tonys and Emmys.
Click on any box to bring up that event, then scroll down to start making your predictions.
For each TV show, cast your votes on several different questions relating to the upcoming episode. And remember to place your 500 and 200-point bets wisely.