‘Dancing with the Stars’ cliffhanger: Is Riker Lynch at risk of shocking elimination?

I got burned last week predicting Suzanne Somers would be eliminated on “Dancing With the Stars” — football player Michael Sam got the boot instead. But this week I’m betting on Somers again. Am I wrong? If you think so, make your predictions for a chance to win a $100 Amazon gift card.

Sure, “Bachelor” star Chris Soules is the top pick to be ousted by those predicting the results in our ongoing contest. But even though he had the lowest judges’ score on “Most Memorable Year” night, the same was true two weeks ago when model Charlotte McKinney was sent home instead. If Soules still has the support of viewers at home, he could get another reprieve.

Dancing with the Stars’ predictions: Can anyone outscore the dominant top four?

Somers was second to last in the judges’ scores last week, and that has been an unlucky position so far this season. Both McKinney and Sam were eliminated after landing in the exact same spot on the leaderboard. Does that mean she’ll suffer the same fate?

Being the lowest scoring dancer can sometimes be advantageous on “DWTS.” If a fan-favorite is at the bottom, viewers will be even more motivated to vote for them, whereas contestants in the middle of the pack are at risk of fan complacency; if they think you’re safe no matter what, they might not vote, and that’s how upsets happen. 

 In fact, that’s exactly what last week’s contest champ is predicting. Connor Young (aka “Connordapianist“) won our $100 prize last week by going out on a limb and predicting Willow Shields‘s top-scoring performance. This week, he’s out on another limb, betting that musician Riker Lynch will be sent home.

How could that be? Lynch has consistently been one of this season’s top performers and tied for fourth place in the judges’ scores last week. “He does get good scores,” Young admits, “but I don’t trust that the viewers will vote for him.” It’s true, we don’t know how strong Lynch’s fan base is because he’s always been perched safely near the top of the judges’ standings, but after three eliminations this season, fourth place now puts him squarely in the middle of the pack, and far from a guarantee to return next week.

Lynch had 33/1 odds when Young predicted him, so if he’s right, he’ll get another big payout and potentially win this week’s contest too.

Remember that coming out on top doesn’t just mean answering the week’s questions correctly. You also have to use your three big bets (one of 500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a longshot who pulls off an upset — as was the case with each of this week’s results — you can really rack up the points. As we use those point totals to break ties when more than one user tops our leaderboard with the same number of correct answers, don’t take them for granted.

‘DWTS’ predictions: Top users disagree on Nastia Liukin vs. Willow Shields

What do our other top users think? Let’s take a look at who our contest leaders have in their sights. 

Our overall leader, Ryan Lapierre, agrees with me that Somers will be eliminated, and so does second-place Radzie. However, Other Daryl, who is third in our overall leaderboard and won our predictions contest in week two, agrees with our consensus that Soules will be sent packing.

As of this writing, Somers has odds of 13/8. That means if she’s given the axe, a 100-point bet will earn 163 points for correctly making that prediction.

However, if you too want to take a calculated risk by predicting Lynch at 33/1 odds, you can place your 500-point big bet on him and potentially score 16,500 game points if you’re right.

Make or update your predictions below by dragging contestants from left to the right in your forecasted order of likelihood of being eliminated. For example, if you think Lynch’s days of dancing are over make sure to have him in first place. You can continue to update and change your predictions throughout the week until 4 p.m. PT each Monday. Just click “Save Predictions” when you’ve settled on your choice.

To enter your predictions for the other questions we ask (low and high score each week, ultimate winner), make sure you are logged into your Gold Derby account or register for a free account via Facebook, Twitter or Google.

After logging in, click on the “Predictions” button found at the top-right of every page. That will bring you to a list of every event currently being predicted at Gold Derby.

We are forecasting everything from the results on reality TV shows like “The Amazing Race” and “Survivor” to the body count on “The Walking Dead” to the winners of the Academy of Country Music Awards and both Daytime and Primetime Emmys. 

Click on any box to bring up that event, then scroll down to start making your predictions.

For each TV show, cast your votes on several different questions relating to the upcoming episode. And remember to place your 500 and 200-point bets wisely. 

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