Who do you think is going home in this week’s two-night “Dancing With the Stars” event, when two stars are expected to be sent home in a dreaded double elimination? If you think you know, make your predictions for a chance to win a $100 Amazon gift card (if you qualify according to our contest rules).
“Shark Tank” businessman Robert Herjavec is the top pick to be ousted by those predicting the results in our ongoing contest. He finished last in the judges’ scores during last week’s “Spring Break Special.” That was the second week in a row he finished at the bottom, and now 57% of our users think it’s his time to go, giving him 8/11 odds.
However, only one bottom-scoring contestant has been sent home so far this season: Redfoo at the very beginning of the competition. Does that mean Herjavec is actually safe? Maybe, but with the season narrowing to the very best contestants and two stars slated to exit on Tuesday night, there may not be any more wiggle room for a low-scorer to survive, even with support from at-home voters.
“Bachelor” star Chris Soules has also finished at the bottom of the judges’ scores twice this season, but even though he has shown improvement in recent weeks, our users think he’s the second most likely to get the boot. 31% of them are betting on his exit, giving him 9/4 odds.
But wait — what about Noah Galloway? The model and military veteran actually scored lower than Soules in last week’s show. In fact, he had the second lowest score of the night, and the second-lowest scorer has gone home every week for the last four weeks: Charlotte McKinney, Michael Sam, Suzanne Somers, and Patti LaBelle. Doesn’t that mean he’s sure to get the axe?
Our users don’t think so. Only 3% are predicting his ouster, giving him 33/1 odds. That’s probably because “DWTS” fans have a conservative streak that works in his favor. In season 18, outspoken Christian Candace Cameron Bure made it to the finals ahead of dancers who consistently scored higher than her, and in season 19, Sadie Robertson of the conservative “Duck Dynasty” clan was the season’s runner-up. If voters are true to form, no way the “American Sniper” crowd will let a military hero go home just yet.
Or will they?
Our top users predicting “DWTS” agree on the likeliest contestant to be sent home. Radzie, who is the best predictor of this season of “DWTS” so far, says Herjavec will be eliminated. Second-place user Ryan Lapierre and third-place user Kevin Postel agree.
But they don’t agree on who they rank second. Postel agrees with our consensus that Soules is the next most likely to go, but Radzie and Lapierre say it’s Galloway.
A second-place ranking in our predictions won’t factor into our contest; you won’t be credited with two right answers if you have the second eliminated contestant in your number-two slot, but it’s worth noting that this season’s best “DWTS” predictors think Galloway is more vulnerable than Soules.
If you think Galloway will be eliminated, you can bet on him now at 33/1 odds and score major points, which could help you win our $100 prize.
Remember that coming out on top doesn’t just mean answering the week’s questions correctly. You also have to use your three big bets (one of 500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a long shot who pulls off an upset, you can really rack up the points. As we use those point totals to break ties when more than one user tops our leaderboard with the same number of correct answers, don’t take them for granted.
So if you bet 500 points on Galloway’s elimination at 33/1 odds, you’ll get 16,500 points if you’re right. By comparison, if you bet 500 points on Herjavec at 8/11 odds, that will pay out with only 363 points if you’re right. That could be the difference between winning our contest and losing it if you’re tied for the most right answers, but proceed with caution. If you predict Galloway and you’re wrong, you could knock yourself out of contention entirely.
We also shouldn’t rule out another potential surprise. After a controversial “Bootylicious” jazz routine last Monday, Rumer Willis finished fourth in the judges’ scores, just one point higher than struggling Soules. As a result, 2% of users think she’ll be eliminated, giving her 50/1 odds.
But who do you think should be eliminated? We asked our readers that question last week, and the results were clear. More than half of you (50.31%) want Soules out of the competition. Next with 30.18% in our poll was Herjavec. Only 5.75% of you want Galloway to leave. Is that a good sign for Galloway? Our poll is still open; click here to vote if you haven’t already.
Make or update your predictions below by dragging contestants from the left to the right in your forecasted order of likelihood of being eliminated. For example, if you think Herjavec’s days are numbered, make sure to have him in first place. You can continue to update and change your predictions throughout the week until 5 p.m. PT each Monday. Just click “Save Predictions” when you’ve settled on your choice.
To enter your predictions for the other questions we ask (low and high score each week, ultimate winner), make sure you are logged into your Gold Derby account or register for a free account via Facebook, Twitter or Google.
After logging in, click on the “Predictions” button found at the top-right of every page. That will bring you to a list of every event currently being predicted at Gold Derby.
We are forecasting everything from the results on reality TV shows like “The Amazing Race” and “Survivor” to the body count on “The Walking Dead” to the winners of the Academy of Country Music Awards and both Daytime and Primetime Emmys.
Click on any box to bring up that event, then scroll down to start making your predictions.
For each TV show, cast your votes on several different questions relating to the upcoming episode. And remember to place your 500 and 200-point bets wisely.