Our racetrack odds for Best Younger Actor at the Daytime Emmys indicate that any of the four nominees could conceivably win, but that Bryan Craig (“General Hospital“) and Freddie Smith (“Days of Our Lives“) are decisively ahead. Now that they don’t have to face Chandler Massey (“Days”), who won the last three years in a row, this category is guaranteed to crown a first-time winner. Which will it be?
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Like their primetime counterpart, the Daytime Emmys are decided by judging panels viewing sample episode submissions. For the third year in a row, the TV academy has made these available online for public viewing. Below, watch the episodes and judge for yourself as to who should win.
Craig’s performance reel features a confrontation between his character, Morgan Corinthos, and his father Sonny (past Emmy-champ Maurice Benard) after it is discovered that Morgan has been spying on Sonny for a rival crime family. This performance is more subdued than last year’s reel, in which he went off on his dad for favoring his older brother. This time he’s penitent, asking for Sonny’s forgiveness. Could this subtle performance succeed where last year’s emotional fireworks failed?
He leads our predictions with 21/20 odds, supported by two of our six Experts – Gold Derby’s own Tom O’Neil and Paul Sheehan. Craig is also backed by four out of five Editors, 13 of our Top 24 Users (the two dozen high scorers at predicting last year’s winners) and 52% of all Users.
At under five minutes, Smith’s reel is one of the shortest, but that might not be a great disadvantage. After all, no one in this category submitted a reel longer than 10 minutes, and his former “Days” co-star Massey prevailed last year with scenes that were even shorter.
Smith delivers some of the showiest emotions in this category. As Sonny Kiriakis, he argues with Gabi (Younger Actress-nominee Camila Banus) about her continued obsession with her dangerous, manipulative beau, leading her to slap him.
It’s brief, but packs a punch, which is why I think he has the slight edge to prevail here. He’s also the consensus choice of our Experts, backed by three out of six of them: Jamey Giddens (Daytime Confidential), Lynda Hirsch (Creators Syndicate) and Stephanie Sloane (Soap Opera Digest). 16% of Users concur, as do five of our Top 24 Users: NoLogo, JDMintz, chicano1616, darioc and T-Love74.
TEQUAN RICHMOND, “GENERAL HOSPITAL”
Richmond is this category’s only first-time nominee, and he has the longest performance reel at nearly 10 minutes. In it, his character, TJ Ashford, listens to his mother Jordan (Vinessa Antoine) and guardian Shawn (Sean Blakemore) reveal the whole truth about the death of TJ’s father.
Richmond has strong emotional reactions to the secrets coming to light, though the nature of the scene requires that Jordan and Shawn do most of the talking. Wil that hurt him against competitors who drive the action of their nominated scenes?
He’s got a shot, ranking third in our overall predictions with 8/1 odds. Our Expert Roger Newcomb (We Love Soaps) is betting on him, as are 12% of Users and two of our Top 24 Users: montana82 and AviChristiaans.
Max Ehrich (“The Young and the Restless“) ranks last in our predictions, but he’s not out of it despite having the shortest reel in the category at just over four minutes. He plays Fenmore Baldwin, who is preparing to go out of town on a holiday ski trip when he finds out his father (Christian LeBlanc) has cancer.
Last year, our top User was almostsideways, who predicted 60% of the winners. Gold Derby’s Editors and all Users were only right 30% of the time, while Experts scored 25%. If you think you too can outscore all other prognosticators, click here to make your predictions for a chance to win a $100 Amazon gift card.
But remember that coming out on top doesn’t just mean having the most correct predictions. You also have to use your three big bets (one of 500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a long shot who pulls off an upset, you can really rack up the points. As we use those scores to break ties when more than one user tops our leaderboard with the same number of correct answers, don’t take them for granted.
For instance, if you think Ehrich will pull off an upset, you can place your 500-point bet on him at 10/1 odds, which would earn you 5,000 points if you’re right.
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We are forecasting everything from the results on reality TV shows like “The Amazing Race” and “Survivor” to the winners of the Primetime Emmys and Billboard Music Awards.
Click on any box to bring up that event, then scroll down to start making your predictions.
You can also make or update your predictions below by dragging contestants from left to right in the order of their likelihood of winning. You can continue to update and change your predictions until the Creative Arts awards this Friday. Just click “Save Predictions” when you’ve settled on your choices.