Daytime Emmys predictions: TV vets Donna Mills (‘GH’), Meredith Baxter (‘Y&R’) lead Special Guest race

The Daytime Emmys introduced Best Special Guest Performer to this year’s lineup of categories, and the nominees include some well-known names outside of the soap world.

Who do you think will prevail? Predict the correct outcome of this Emmy race (and 17 others) and you could win our contest. The user with the highest accuracy rate collects $100 and a place of honor on our leaderboards. (Make sure to read our complete contest rules.)

WATCH ALL THE EMMY REELS:
Actor | Actress | Supporting Actor | Supporting Actress
Younger Actor | Younger Actress | Special Guest Performer

Like their primetime counterpart, the Daytime Emmys are decided by judging panels viewing sample episode submissions. For the third year in a row, the TV academy has made these available online for public viewing. Below, watch the episode submissions and judge for yourself as to who should win. 

DONNA MILLS, “GENERAL HOSPITAL

Donna Mills plays Madeline Reeves on “General Hospital,” and in her reel she confesses to her son, Nathan (Ryan Paevey), that she faked the death of his sister. Best known for her role on the primetime soap “Knots Landing” during the 1980s, Mills is penitent in this episode as Madeline asks for Nathan’s forgiveness, but her performance is understated, and the strongest emotions in the episode are expressed by Paevey.

Nevertheless, she leads our predictions. Three of six Experts say she’ll prevail: Jamey Giddens (Daytime Confidential) and Gold Derby’s own Tom O’Neil and Paul Sheehan. Agreeing with them are three out of five Editors, nine of our Top 24 Users (the two dozen high scorers at predicting last year’s winners), and 50% of all Users, giving her even odds.

MEREDITH BAXTER, “THE YOUNG AND THE RESTLESS

Three-time Primetime Emmy nominee Meredith Baxter appeared on “The Young and the Restless” as Maureen, who makes a confession of her own. She reveals to Victoria (Supporting Actress-nominee Amelia Heinle) that she killed her abusive husband to protect her children, but then let her young son take the fall for it. It’s a powerful performance, full of grief and regret, which is why I’m picking her to win.

I’m not alone. She’s a strong second in our overall predictions with 14/5 odds. Our Expert Lynda Hirsch (Creators Syndicate) is backing her. So is my fellow Editor Chris Beachum, along with 28% of Users and four of our Top 24 Users: eastwest, Denton Davidson, chicano1616 and rafaeltxeira.

RAY WISE, “THE YOUNG AND THE RESTLESS”

We shouldn’t count out veteran character actor Ray Wise, who delightfully chews scenery as Ian Ward on “Y&R.” He especially stands out in this category because he’s the only one who delivers a dastardly villain performance; Ian forces his way past security guards to terrorize Nikki Newman (Melody Thomas Scott) with a hypodermic needle before being chased off by Dylan McAvoy (Steve Burton).

Playing evil worked for Eileen Davidson (“Days of Our Lives“) last year in the Best Actress race. Will it also work for Wise?

Experts Roger Newcomb (We Love Soaps) and Stephanie Sloane (Soap Opera Digest) say Wise will prevail. So do 11% of Users. He ranks third overall with 11/2 odds.

FRED WILLARD, “THE BOLD AND THE BEAUTIFUL

Next in our predictions is comic actor Fred Willard as John Forrester on “The Bold and the Beautiful.” Like Wise, he stands out from the pack, but for a different reason: Willard is one of only two actors in this race delivering a lighthearted comic turn.

In his episode submission, Willard reunites with his brother Eric (John McCook) and thanks him for taking care of his daughter. It’s the shortest reel in the category at less than four minutes, and Willard doesn’t have a lot of story or character development to play, but he has natural charm and charisma that could win over voters, especially if the popular actor already has fans on the judging panel.

He’s predicted by 6% of Users and three of our Top 24 Users: Kyle BaileyAviChristiaans and rkenny4. That gives him overall odds of 16/1.

LINDA ELENA TOVAR, “GENERAL HOSPITAL”

Linda Elena Tovar is the youngest nominee in a category dominated by well-known veterans. She recurs on “GH” as Rosalie Martinez, and like Willard submitted a comic reel. In it, she drunkenly confesses to Michael (Supporting Actor contender Chad Duell) that she was hired to seduce him but failed.

Tovar isn’t the only actress vying for Emmy with a drunk scene. So is fellow “GH” actor Lisa LoCicero in the Supporting Actress contest. Will it pay off for them?

She’s a 50/1 underdog with support from just 4% of Users. Should we take her candidacy more seriously?

SALLY KELLERMAN, “THE YOUNG AND THE RESTLESS”

Sally Kellerman, an Oscar-nominee for “MASH” (1970), appeared on “Y&R” last year as Constance Bingham. In her episode submission, she is on her deathbed and tells her son Gabriel that a hostile takeover by powerful businessman Victor Newman led to the suicide of Gabriel’s father. She doesn’t realize, however, that her son is actually Adam Newman (Justin Hartley) in disguise. She asks him to avenge his “father’s” death, and he agrees.

It’s a quiet but affecting scene, yet none of our predictors think Kellerman can win, making her a long shot with 100/1 odds.

Last year, our top User was almostsideways, who predicted 60% of the winners. Gold Derby’s Editors and all Users were only right 30% of the time, while Experts scored 25%. If you think you too can outscore all other prognosticators, click here to make your predictions for a chance to win a $100 Amazon gift card.

But remember that coming out on top doesn’t just mean having the most correct predictions. You also have to use your three big bets (one of 500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a long shot who pulls off an upset, you can really rack up the points. As we use those scores to break ties when more than one user tops our leaderboard with the same number of correct answers, don’t take them for granted.

For instance, if you think we’re dead wrong and expect Kellerman to win, you can place your 500-point bet on her at 100/1 odds, which would earn you 50,000 points if you’re right.

To enter your predictions, make sure you are logged into your Gold Derby account or register for a free account via Facebook, Twitter or Google.

After logging in, click on the “Predictions” button found at the top-right of every page. That will bring you to a list of every event currently being predicted at Gold Derby.

We are forecasting everything from the results on reality TV shows like “The Amazing Race” and “Survivor” to the winners of the Primetime Emmys and Billboard Music Awards.

Click on any box to bring up that event, then scroll down to start making your predictions.

You can also make or update your predictions below by dragging contestants from left to right in the order of their likelihood of winning. You can continue to update and change your predictions until the Creative Arts awards this Friday. Just click “Save Predictions” when you’ve settled on your choices.

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