Richard Linklater is all but certain to win the top prize at the 67th annual edition of the Directors Guild of America Awards on Saturday for his 12-year committment to “Boyhood.” This first-time nominee is far out in front, with the support of eight of our nine Experts as well as all of our Editors, 21 of our Top 24 Users from last year and 85% of All Users. Those votes translate into leading odds of 1/5.
Jenelle Riley (Variety) as well as two of the Top 24 and 13% of all Users are backing the bid by returning contender Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (“Birdman“). That gives him odds of 9/1 to pull off an upset.
Two of the other nominees — two-time past champ Clint Eastwood (“American Sniper“) and rookie Wes Anderson (“The Grand Budapest Hotel“) — have a sprinkling of support and are at 50/1 each while “The Imitation Game” helmer Morten Tyldum is at 100/1 for his first bid.
In the 66-year history of the DGA awards, it’s winner has gone on to take home the Oscar on 59 occasions. Not surprisingly then, Linklater is the overwhelming favorite at the Oscars too. The seven exceptions have been:
1968 — DGA to Anthony Harvey for “The Lion in Winter” and Oscar to Carol Reed for “Oliver!”
1972 — DGA to Francis Ford Coppola for “The Godfather” and Oscar to Bob Fosse for “Cabaret”
1985 — DGA to Steven Spielberg for “The Color Purple” and Oscar to Sydney Pollack for “Out of Africa”
1995 — DGA to Ron Howard for “Apollo 13” and Oscar to Mel Gibson for “Braveheart”
2000 — DGA to Ang Lee for “Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon” and Oscar to Steven Soderbergh for “Traffic”
2002 — DGA to Rob Marshall for “Chicago” and Oscar to Roman Polanski for “The Pianist”
2012 — DGA to Ben Affleck (“Argo”) and Oscar to Ang Lee (“Life of Pi”)
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