Emmys experts predict ‘Veep’ will keep ‘Modern Family’ from winning record sixth time

Eight of our Emmy experts — Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Eric Deggans (NPR), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby), Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly), Matt Roush (TV Guide), Ken Tucker (Yahoo) and me — have weighed in with their first predictions as to who will prevail on Sept. 20. 

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Six of us are predicting that "Veep" will win Best Comedy Series, thwarting the bid by "Modern Family" to claim a record sixth trophy. That support gives this HBO political satire odds of 4/9 to take home this top trophy on its fourth try. 

Deggans stands alone as the only Expert forecasting victory for the ABC laffer. It has odds of only 13/2 to break its tie with "Frasier" as the most honored comedy at the Emmys.

Roush is touting "Transparent," the freshman Amazon series. That vote, coupled with where the rest of us are ranking this show, gives it odds of 6/1 to pull off an upset. 

The other four nominees — "Louie," "Parks and Recreation," "Silicon Valley" and "Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt" — are all at 100/1. 

Experts Emmy predictions: All 32 categories

Click on the chart above to see how those odds stack up to the predictions by the other three groups at Gold Derby: our Editors, Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who did the best at predicting last year's winners), and Users just like you. 

Last year, our Experts had an accuracy rate of 58.62%. That score tied them with both Gold Derby's Editors and the Top 24 Users. Our Users scored  51.72% (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)

Which group will be victorious this year?

As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it's important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.

Make your own Emmys picks now starting with Best Comedy Series to the right or at the bottom of this post.

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Meet the guy who won our contest to predict the Emmys last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar. 

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