Are we underestimating Damian Lewis to win an Emmy Award for the PBS limited series "Wolf Hall"? Don't forget, Lewis waged a surprise attack on awards pundits two years ago by winning the Best Drama Actor Emmy for the first season of "Homeland" over the frontrunner Bryan Cranston ("Breaking Bad"). So, it wouldn't be a wise move to count Lewis out this time around with his bid for Best Movie/Mini Supporting Actor.
According to the rankings derived from predictions made by Gold Derby's Experts, Editors, Users and Top 24 Users (those who did the best at predicting last year's Emmys), Lewis is in third place to win the Emmy with odds of 12/1. Ahead of him are Bill Murray ("Olive Kitteridge") with leading odds of 4/7 and Finn Wittrock ("American Horror Story: Freak Show") at 5/1.
The other three Movie/Mini Supporting Actor nominees are all tied at 25/1: Richard Cabral ("American Crime"), Denis O'Hare ("American Horror Story: Freak Show") and Michael Kenneth Williams ("Bessie"). See more Emmy odds and rankings here.
For the first time in Emmys history, the TV academy has required supporting nominees from limited series to choose specific episodes for viewing by voters. This could help Lewis. While his character, King Henry VIII, is on the sidelines for much of the first several episodes of "Wolf Hall," he dominates the proceedings in his submission, titled "Crows." As a refresher, that's the fifth episode where his character's request to be declared head of the church is denied by the Holy Roman Emperor.
Do you think we're underestimating Lewis? Use our drag-and-drop menu at the bottom of this post to make your predictions, or click here to enter your picks in that and many other Emmy races.
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Last year, our Experts had an accuracy rate of 58.62% when it came to predicting the Emmy winners. That score tied them with both Gold Derby's Editors and the Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who did the best at predicting last year's Emmys). Our Users scored 51.72% (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)
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Photo Credit: PBS