Emmys announced their 2015 nominees on July 16, and on the same day, Gold Derby opened predictions for the winners. After five days, a clear consensus has formed around the race for Best Drama Series: it’s going to be a two-way battle between perennial nominee “Game of Thrones” and four-time champ “Mad Men.”
That divide is evident in the predictions of our Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who scored highest picking last year’s winners). Not all of last year’s best users have weighed in yet, but as of now, 14 are picking “Thrones” while seven are backing “Mad Men.”
The majority favoring “Thrones” are surpriselover, Riaan, Eli Edwards, Nika Gigashvili, ThePerksOfBeingAGriff, Levi Hill, wanderlust, ldm2006, Servo91, TVFan365, Jason Nolette, zpsox58, Chris Tsang and rodman.
However, the supporters for “Mad Men” include Jonathan Sydel, aka JSydel893, who was last year’s predictions contest champ with 65.52% accuracy. He’s joined by Harley Diamond, Tony DiMeo, eeric, Jose Gonzalez, Noe and AnmolTitoria. Should we listen to their premonition?
Overall, “Thrones” leads with 9/10 odds in our combined predictions, which pool together Experts, Editors, Users and the Top 24 Users. Our Editors and Users agree with the Top 24 in giving “Thrones” the edge, while the Experts insist that “Mad Men” will take home farewell plaudits from the TV academy. It would be the fifth win for the AMC period drama, more than any other drama in Emmys history.
Last year, our Experts had an accuracy rate of 58.62% predicting the winners. That score tied them with both Gold Derby’s Editors and the Top 24 Users. Our Users scored 51.72% (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)
Which group will be victorious this year?
As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.
Make your own Emmys picks now starting at the bottom of this post.
You could win one of our three prizes ($500, $300 and $200 Amazon gift certificates) as well as a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Emmys).
Meet the guy who won our contest to predict the Emmys last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar.