Two more top Emmy experts — Matt Roush (TV Guide) and Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times) — have chimed in with their predictions for this year’s awards, which will be handed out on Sept. 20 with nominations announced on July 16. See all of Roush’s predictions here and Whipp’s here.
A consensus is building that “Mad Men” will win Best Drama Series for a record fifth time. Before the finale aired last Sunday just three of our Experts — Birnbaum, Eng and Jacobs — expected the Emmys to give it a farewell hug. Since then, O’Neill and Tucker have switched their predix from “House of Cards” and Roush just cast his vote for this final season. That gives this AMC staple leading odds of 4/1.
Whipp is backing “Empire” (6/1), Bianco still forecasts a victory for “Game of Thrones” (11/2) after four straight losses and I still expect “House of Cards” (6/1) to prevail. See the odds in all the top races here.
Roush and Whipp make it a lucky seven Experts predicting that “Modern Family” will win Best Comedy Series for a record sixth year running; that gives it leading odds of 4/1. Jacobs opts for “Veep” (5/1) while Tucker is now touting “Transparent” (11/2).
Roush is the seventh Expert to predict that Viola Davis (“How to Get Away with Murder“) will win Drama Actress; that collective support gives her odds of 10/3. With Whipp predicting a win for Taraji P. Henson (“Empire”), she now has odds of 9/2. Bianco expects Olivia Colman (33/1) to pull off an upset season two of “Broadchurch.”
There has been a shift in the Drama Actor race to Jon Hamm (“Mad Men”). Last week, he had the backing of just Bianco, Birnbaum and Jacobs while Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards”) had the votes of four Experts. However, two of them — O’Neil and Tucker — are now on Team Hamm as are Roush and Whipp. With seven Experts in his corner, this perennial also-ran now has odds of 10/3 to finally take home an Emmy. And with only Eng and I still supporting Spacey, he now has odds of 4/1.
Four of us forecast 2012 Drama Supporting Actress champ Maggie Smith (“Downton Abbey“) to pick up a bookend and that gives her leading odds of 4/1. Birnbaum, O’Neil and Roush forecast a first win for Christina Hendricks (“Mad Men”) who is now at 9/2 and Jacobs does the same for Christine Baranski (“The Good Wife“) who has odds of 5/1.
Likewise, four of us are predicting 2011 Drama Supporting Actor Peter Dinklage (“Game of Thrones”) to win and he has odds of 10/3. Birnbaum, Eng and Whipp are expecting this race to go to Jonathan Banks (“Better Call Saul“) who has odds of 9/2 while Roush backs Jon Voight (“Ray Donovan”) who is at 11/2.
On the comedy performer side, Roush joins the majority in predicting that last year’s funny ladies — Julia Louis-Dreyfus (“Veep“) and Allison Janney (“Mom“) — will repeat. Each now has leading odds of 10/3. However, Whipp is predicting upsets by Golden Globes champ Gina Rodriguez (“Jane the Virgin“) and “Saturday Night Live” featured player Kate McKinnon and that gives them odds of 6/1 and 9/1 respectively.
Roush and Whipp join the rest of us in backing Jeffrey Tambor for the first season of “Transparent.” He now has odds of 3/1 with four-time champ Jim Parsons (“The Big Bang Theory“) is his closest rival at 4/1.
Comedy Supporting Actor is turning into a real race. Roush joins Birnbaum in backing 2013 winner Tony Hale (“Veep”) while Bianco, Tucker and I give the edge to two-time champ Ty Burrell (“Modern Family”). They are tied at 4/1. Jacobs and Whipp like the looks of Andre Braugher (“Brooklyn Nine-Nine“) who now has odds of 11/2. Eng and O’Neil go with newcomer Tituss Burgess (“Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt“) who sits at 9/1.
When it came to predicting last year’s Emmy nominations, our Experts had an accuracy rate of 74.64%. They were edged out by Gold Derby users just like YOU who scored 74.78%. However, both groups were bested by the Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who’d done the best at predicting the 2013 Emmy nominations) at 78.55% and Gold Derby’s Editors with 77.68%.
Which group will be victorious this year?
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