Emmy Awards nominations cliffhanger: Who are we underestimating?

Remember back in 2012 when “Downton Abbey” switched genres at the Emmys from Movie/Mini to Drama? Although many of us were expecting a decent haul of nominations for the second season of this Brit hit, we were shocked by those out-of-left-field supporting actor bids by Brendan Coyle and especially Jim Carter (who went on to be nominated two more times and could return again as a nominee this year).

Who might be that shock contender this year? The rules of this game are (not so) simple:

– They are from a new show (or one that is resurgent due to buzz or sentiment);

– Their show is expected to be a big player at the Emmys, but not necessarily for all of the supporting cast; and

– It will be someone that almost nobody saw coming.

For example, my five “We Love the Show, So You Get a Nomination Too” picks are Yael Stone (“Orange is the New Black“), Jussie Smollett (“Empire“), Michael McKean (“Better Call Saul“), Tony Shalhoub (“Nurse Jackie“) and Gaby Hoffmann (“Transparent“).

If ‘Game of Thrones’ and Jon Hamm don’t win Emmys, our forum posters QUIT!

We asked our forum posters who they think might sneak in as a nominee. Read some of their suggestions below, then CLICK HERE to add your own to the conversation. And be sure to make your predictions for Best Drama Supporting Actor below. 

KyleBailey: I think Yael Stone could be a possibility. Michael McKean has a few stand out episodes but I don’t know if they will go for two “Saul” men in the Supporting category. Carrie Brownstein is a possibility for “Portlandia” and Andy Samberg could pull off an Actor nom for “Brooklyn Nine-Nine.” If “The Affair” does well, Maura Tierney and Joshua Jackson could pull off Supporting noms.

Ryan Lapierre: In drama supporting actor I have two. Joe Morton and #Kit Harrington#. I currently have Carrie Brownstein in my comedy supporting actress predictions.

Gone_Guy: Kit Harrington. He would have likely gotten a Critics Choice TV nom if they hadn’t voted so early. But unfortunately, he’s going into the Emmy race without a solo nomination anywhere. Even if he gets in, I don’t see him beating Jonathan Banks or Ben Mendelsohn, but it’ll still be nice to see him get recognotion. Perennial nominee and costar, Peter Dinklage, doesn’t have a single episode to submit for season 5, so I’m okay with Harrington taking his spot.

jacob121: If “Jane [the Virgin]” does anything beyond Gina [Rodriguez] then I could see Jaime Camil picking up an out of nowhere nomination in supporting comedy actor. .. Not quite the parameters you laid out, but I feel like people on these boards are seriously underestimating The Rock for Comedy Guest Actor for hosting “SNL.” He is coming off of an extremely hot year and is starring in a brand new HBO show.

TWGnarls: I feel like if Emmy voters actually watch “Transparent” and like it enough to put it in Comedy Series and nab a writing or directing nom I feel like Gaby Hoffman or Amy Landecker will 100% nab a supporting actress nom as their roles are just that much more interesting then Judith Light who many are just assuming will get a namecheck nom.

jacob121: I’m actually currently predicting [Paul] Giamatti to get in with his pedigree and name recognition [for “Inside Amy Schumer”] (I mean, they nominated him for his nothing turn on Downton). Also he was pretty hilarious in the standout episode of a standout season. After the voters slotted in [Steve] Buscemi for “Portlandia” last year, I think that Giamatti’s nomination is all but certain. I would love for Josh Charles to pop up as well but I think that would be pushing it!

Who deserves to win Best Drama Supporting Actor? Discuss in our forums

Make all your Emmy predictions and you could win a place of honor on our leaderboard, a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Emmys line-up), and one of three contest prizes: $500 for first place, $300 for second place, and $200 for third place. Prizes will be bestowed as gift certificates to be redeemed at Amazon. See our contest rules for more info.

Average Gold Derby users just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our User racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.

The Top 24 Users did the best at predicting last year’s Emmy nominations (78.55%) when competing against Gold Derby’s Editors (77.68%), all Users (74.78%) and the Experts (74.64%). Which group will be victorious this year?

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