Emmys showdown: ‘Game of Thrones’ now tied with ‘Mad Men,’ ‘House of Cards’

What a difference a finale makes. Following Sunday’s explosive season-ender, “Game of Thrones” has risen to the top of our chart predicting Best Drama Series at the Emmys. This four-time contender is now tied with four-time champ “Mad Men” and two-time nominee “House of Cards” with odds of 5/1 to prevail on Sept. 20.  

These official racetrack odds are calculated based on four sets of predictions: industry Experts, our in-house Editors, the Top 24 Users (those two dozen folks who did the best forecasting last year’s nominations) and All Users. Last year’s Top 24 Users outscored the other three groups with an accuracy rate of 78.55% compared to the Editors (77.68%), All Users (74.78%) and the Experts (74.64%). 

And these two dozen savvy Emmyologists are shifting to “Game of Thrones” with eight of them now predicting it to prevail (up from five just a few days ago). It picked up those three votes from “Mad Men,” which has dropped from 10 to seven while “House of Cards” has stayed at eight. (One of the Top 24 expects an upset by “Orange is the New Black.”) 

Among our 11 Experts, “Mad Men” remains the leader, with six votes compared to three for “House of Cards” and one apiece for “Game of Thrones” and “Empire.” 

Our seven Editors split in favor of “House of Cards,” with four casting their ballot for that political drama while two predict “Game of Thrones” and one opts for “Mad Men.” 

With our nearly 2,000 Users, “House of Cards” is still the clear leader, racking up 30% of their votes. “Mad Men” has 15% support while “Game of Thrones” is at 12%. 

What do you think will win Best Drama Series? Average Gold Derby users just like YOU turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our User racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.

Make your Emmy nominations predictions (starting below with Best Drama Series) and you could win a place of honor on our leaderboard, a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users and one of three contest prizes: $500 for first place, $300 for second place, and $200 for third place. Prizes will be bestowed as gift certificates to be redeemed at Amazon. See our contest rules for more info.

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