Rooney Mara ("Carol") and Alicia Vikander ("The Danish Girl") are the Oscar frontrunners for Best Supporting Actress, but the Golden Globes ruled both of them leading ladies, which leaves the Globes race for Best Film Supporting Actress wide open. Our Editors – those of us who cover awards year-round – are split four ways, but give the edge to Jennifer Jason Leigh ("The Hateful Eight").
Three out of six of us – Chris Beachum, Marcus Dixon and Rob Licuria – say Leigh will win at the Golden Globes, giving her odds of 10/9. Leigh previously shared in a special award for Best Ensemble Cast for "Short Cuts" (1993), and earned a nomination for Best Film Drama Actress for "Mrs. Parker and the Vicious Circle" (1994).
Three of Leigh's rivals have support from one editor each, and all get 5/1 odds. I'm the lone editor currently predicting Kate Winslet ("Steve Jobs"). Winslet is a darling of the Golden Globes, with three victories out of 10 past nominations. She won this category for "The Reader" In 2008. That year she also won Best Film Drama Actress for "Revolutionary Road." And then she claimed Best TV Movie/Miniseries Actress for "Mildred Pierce" in 2011.
Tom O'Neil is predicting Helen Mirren ("Trumbo"). Like Winslet, Mirren has been nominated across the board this year at the Golden Globe, Critics' Choice and SAG Awards, and like Winslet, she's a Globes favorite, having prevailed three times out of 13 past noms: Best TV Movie/Miniseries Actress for "Losing Chase" (1996) and "Elizabeth I" (2005), and Best Film Drama Actress for "The Queen" (2005).
Paul Sheehan is betting on Vikander, who was bumped up to the lead category for "Danish Girl" but competes in this race for her other standout role this year: as an artificially intelligent robot in "Ex Machina." Vikander is the only nominee in this category who has never contended at the Globes before, but she won Best Supporting Actress from the Los Angeles Film Critics Association for this role, and voters could potentially honor her here as a way to reward her for both performances.
None of our editors are predicting Jane Fonda ("Youth"), who trails with 80/1 odds. This is her first Globe nomination in 31 years. She has four previous wins, in addition to three special Henrietta Awards as World Film Favorite – Female.
Make your Golden Globe winner predictions starting with Best Film Supporting Actress to the right or at the bottom of this post.
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"Ex Machina" photo credit: Moviestore/REX
"The Hateful Eight" photo credit:
"Steve Jobs" photo credit: Francois Duhamel/REX