How many of the 15 Golden Globe & SAG double nominees will go on to Oscars?

Last year, 17 of the 19 film performers who earned both Golden Globe and Screen Actors Guild nominations went on to contend at the Oscars. 

How many of this year's double nominees, as detailed below, are likely to three-peat with Oscar nominations?

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BEST ACTOR
Bryan Cranston, "Trumbo"
Leonardo DiCaprio, "The Revenant"
Michael Fassbender, "Steve Jobs"
Eddie Redmayne, "The Danish Girl"

BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, "Carol"
Brie Larson, "Room"
Saoirse Ronan, "Brooklyn"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale, "The Big Short" (lead at Globes)
Idris Elba, "Beasts of No Nation"
Mark Rylance, "Bridge of Spies"
Michael Shannon, "99 Homes"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Rooney Mara, "Carol" (lead at Globes)
Helen Mirren, "Trumbo"
Alicia Vikander, "The Danish Girl" (lead at Globes)
Kate Winslet, "Steve Jobs"

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Last year, all 10 of the SAG lead nominees also reaped Globe bids (remember, there are twice as many Globe lead nominees as they have both drama and comedy/musical categories.) Of these, eight went on to earn Oscar nominations. The exceptions:

Jake Gyllenhaal ("Nightcrawler" was knocked out of the Best Actor race by Bradley Cooper ("American Sniper"); and 

Jennifer Aniston ("Cake") got snubbed in favor Best Actress Oscar champs Marion Cotillard (“Two Days, One Night").  

All nine of the SAG supporting nominees who also earned Globe nominations went on to the Oscars. 

Last year, all five Film Ensemble SAG nominees contended in one of the two Best Picture races at the Globes. "Boyhood" won Best Drama over, among others, both "The Imitiation Game" and "The Theory of Everything."  And while SAG champ "Birdman" lost Best Comedy/Musical to "The Grand Budapest Hotel," it went on to win Best Picture at the Oscars.

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What do you think will win Best Picture at the Oscars? 

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