Worried your favorite breakthrough star like Hozier or Meghan Trainor won’t win Best New Artist at the Grammys this year? Don’t worry, neither did Beyonce, Lady Gaga or Taylor Swift. Indeed, some of the biggest recording artists of all time didn’t win Grammys when they were new on the scene including Bob Dylan, Barbra Streisand and the Rolling Stones.
Hindsight is 20/20 when it comes to the Best New Artist prize. You can’t always tell who will have the most successful career based on that first year they hit it big. So while some winners of the award became superstars (The Beatles, Mariah Carey) others flamed out (Milli Vanilli) and then there were those simply don’t have the longevity the recording academy might have thought (Christopher Cross, Hootie and the Blowfish).
As of this writing, Irish singer-songwriter Hozier is our favorite to win Best New Artist with odds of 7/2 based on the combined predictions of our Users, Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Grammy nominations) and Editors (who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby). Ranked second with 6/1 odds is Meghan Trainor. Country breakout Sam Hunt is third with 15/2 odds.
Make your own Grammy picks now to the right or at the bottom of this post, and you could win a $100 Amazon gift card as well as a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Grammy nominees).
Last year, our Top 24 Users and all Gold Derby Users tied with an accuracy rate of 58.75% when it came to predicting the Grammy nominations, while Editors trailed with 42.50% (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)
Which group will be victorious this year? User jhaddad got the top score predicting the nominations last year with a 75% accuracy rate. As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.
Photo: Beyonce. Credit: David Fisher/REX
Photo: Taylor Swift. Credit: REX
Photo: Lady Gaga. Credit: John Grainger/Newspix/REX