Outside of the general field and the highest profile music genre categories, we’re predicting Grammy wins for Sia, Weird Al Yankovic, and the late Joan Rivers in races like Music Video, Comedy, and Spoken Word.
Below, our forecasts in five categories, ranked in order of their racetrack odds. (Click on each category title to read an in-depth look at that race):
BEST COMEY ALBUM
“Mandatory Fun,” Weird Al Yankovic – 1/5
“We Are Miracles,” Sarah Silverman – 12/1
“Oh My God,” Louis C.K. – 20/1
“Obsessed,” Jim Gaffigan – 50/1
“Tragedy Plus Comedy Equals Time,” Patton Oswalt – 100/1
After a career spanning three decades, Weird Al Yankovic scored his first ever number-one album on the Billboard 200 last summer with “Mandatory Fun,” which includes parodies of popular songs like Pharrell Williams‘s “Happy” and Lorde‘s “Royals.” Will he now add another Comedy Album Grammy to his collection? This is his 10th nomination for a comedy performance, but his first nomination and win was actually for an individual song: “Eat It” (1984) a send-up of Michael Jackson‘s “Beat It.”
BEST SPOKEN-WORD ALBUM
“Diary of a Mad Diva,” Joan Rivers – 1/10
“A Call to Action,” Jimmy Carter – 33/1
“Actors Anonymous,” James Franco – 50/1
“Carsick: John Waters Hitchhikes Across America,” John Waters – 50/1
“We Will Survive,” Gloria Gaynor – 100/1
“A Fighting Chance,” Elizabeth Warren – 100/1
Legendary comedian Joan Rivers died last September during a medical procedure at age 81, but in December, the Grammys recognized her with a nomination for Best Spoken Word Album for the audio version of “Diary of a Mad Diva,” which would turn out to be her last book. Will the recording academy pay posthumous tribute to her with a win on February 8? This is her first nomination for Spoken Word Album, but she did earn one previous Grammy bid, for Best Comedy Album for “What Becomes a Semi-Legend Most?” in 1983.
Only 12 people in history have won the grand slam of showbiz awards (Emmy, Grammy, Oscar, and Tony), but Neil Patrick Harris is already halfway there, with Emmys for guest starring on “Glee” and hosting the Tony Awards, and then his own Tony for starring in the rock musical revival “Hedwig and the Angry Inch” in 2014. Now he may also win a Grammy for “Hedwig” as one of the principal soloists on the cast recording.
The Disney musical “Frozen” is the only film nominated across all three Grammy races for film and television music: Best Visual Media Compilation, Score, and Song. Will it win the Compilation category on the strength of its massive record sales and ubiquitous crossover hit “Let It Go“? Or can legendary singer James Brown surprise?
BEST MUSIC VIDEO
“Chandelier,” Sia – 1/10
“Happy,” Pharrell Williams – 25/1
“We Exist,” Arcade Fire – 50/1
“Turn Down for What,” DJ Snake feat. Lil’ Jon – 50/1
“The Golden Age,” Woodkid feat. Max Richter – 100/1
The last four Grammy winners have been major contenders at the MTV Video Music Awards. If that trend continues, it could be good news for Sia’s “Chandelier” and Pharrell Williams’s “Happy,” which were both nominated for Video of the Year at the VMAs. They lost that prize to Miley Cyrus‘s “Wrecking Ball,” which the recording academy didn’t nominate.
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