“Joy” leading lady Jennifer Lawrence sits in third place on our Best Actress Oscar chart with 9/2 odds of winning behind Brie Larson (“Room”) and Cate Blanchett (“Carol”). Three years ago, Lawrence became the second youngest-ever Best Actress champ at age 22 when she won for “Silver Linings Playbook.” (Marlee Matlin was almost a year younger when she won for “Children of a Lesser God” in 1987).
Were Lawrence to prevail again so soon, she’d knock almost three years off the record set by Luise Rainer who had just turned 28 when she claimed her second Oscar in a row for “The Good Earth” back in 1938. We asked our forum posters, many of whom are Hollywood insiders, to weigh in on her chances of repeating at the Oscars. Read some of their comments below and then join the fierce debate in our red-hot forums here.
Halo_Insider: I think stranger things have happened. I’m not predicting her yet, but if “Joy” becomes a huge player, the notion of her winning again has to be given some weight.
AviChristiaans: She is popular. Very popular. And if she somehow manages to get unwavering support from critics, academy voters will follow. The backlash people are predicting will be a non event. Critics and Oscar watchers might hate her in the end, but the industry surely won’t. There is no rule that says you can’t win multiple Oscars in a short span of time.
AMG: If anything, the fact that she has won before possibly stands her in greater stead for a win. We know voters love her, the internet loves her, and it will get many people talking about the Oscars. Much more than any other actress winning. Her win was arguably the biggest talking point for many the morning after her winning night.
FilmGuy619: Lawrence, definitely not. One reason is her apparent reluctance to campaign. I’m guessing that’s because a.) she really doesn’t want to campaign and b.) her plate is already full promoting “Hunger Games,” filming “Passengers,” getting through filming “X-Men,” co-writing a script with Amy Schumer. Unless her film becomes a juggernaut, she’s not gonna win again.
patmcb: I can see Lawrence winning again. She’s getting STRONG notices out of last week’s test screening with some people in attendance declaring it to be a career-best performance for her.
As you can see from the chart to the right, Lawrence is likely to reap her fourth career Oscar nomination. Previously she was recognized by the academy for “Winter’s Bone” (lead nomination, 2010), “Silver Linings Playbook” (lead win, 2012) and “American Hustle” (supporting nomination, 2013).
Larson has leading odds of 3/1 to win on her first Oscar nomination while Blanchett has odds of 10/3 to pick up her third Oscar in just 11 years.
Rounding out the field are a pair of past nominees: Carey Mulligan (“Suffragette”) and Saoirse Ronan (“Brooklyn”) who are tied for fourth place at 11/1 odds each. See up-to-date Oscar odds and rankings here.
Gold Derby’s exclusive odds are based on the Oscar forecasts of 20 top Hollywood journalists (Experts), our website staff (Editors), the two dozen folks who did the best predicting last year’s Oscar noms (Top 24 Users) and thousands of readers like you (Users).
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Photo Credit: Moviestore Collection LTD/REX