Between 1995 and 2008, Oscar darling Kate Winslet had a reserved parking space at the Dolby Theatre. She was nominated a whopping six times and set a record as the youngest actress to ever do so. However, since finally winning for “The Reader” in 2008 she has endured the longest Oscar dry spell of her career. Will her new film “Steve Jobs” be her long-awaited Oscar comeback?
Directed by Danny Boyle (Oscar winner for “Slumdog Millionaire) and written by Aaron Sorkin (Oscar champ for “The Social Network”), “Steve Jobs” stars Michael Fassbender as the mercurial computer whiz. Winslet, nearly unrecognizable with brown hair and glasses, play his long-suffering adviser Joanna Hoffman, an Armenian immigrant.
After wildly successful screenings at the Telluride and New York filmfests, “Steve Jobs” gets a limited release in Gotham and Los Angeles on Oct. 9 before going wide on Oct. 23. It’s already attracting major Oscar buzz for all involved.
According to Gold Derby’s exclusive predictions that combine the Oscar forecasts of 19 top Hollywood journalists (Experts), our website staff (Editors), the two dozen folks who did the best predicting last year’s Oscar noms (Top 24 Users) and over a thousand contest entrants like you (Users), Winslet is a shoo-in for a nomination.
And her odds of winning are 5/1, good enough for third place on our Best Supporting Actress chart, behind Rooney Mara (“Carol”) with leading odds of 2/1 and newcomer Alicia Vikander (“The Danish Girl”) at 4/1.
Rounding out our list of five potential nominees are Jennifer Jason Leigh (“The Hateful Eight”) at 15/2 odds and Jane Fonda (“Youth”) with odds of 20/1. See our up-to-date Oscar odds and rankings here.
Another Oscar nomination for Winslet would be her seventh overall after two supporting bids for “Sense and Sensibility” (1995) and “Iris” (2001) and four lead nominations [“Titanic” (1997), “Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind” (2004), “Little Children” (2006) and “The Reader” (2008)].
And if Winslet prevails for “Steve Jobs,” she’ll become just the fourth Best Actress Oscar champ who went on to win again for a supporting role:
Helen Hayes won Best Actress for “The Sin of Madelon Claudet” (1931) and then Best Supporting Actress four decades later for “Airport” (1970);
Ingrid Bergman won Best Actress twice [“Gaslight,” (1944) and “Anastasia” (1956)] before her 1974 Best Supporting Actress win for “Murder on the Orient Express”; and
Maggie Smith won Best Actress in 1969 for “The Prime of Miss Jean Brodie” and then Best Supporting Actress in 1978 for “California Suite.”
Make your Oscar predictions beginning with Best Supporting Actress to the right or at the bottom of this post and you could earn a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Oscar nominations).
Last year, our Top 24 Users led the way with an accuracy rate of 76.67% when it came to predicting the Oscar nominations. Next up were Gold Derby’s Editors with 74.44%, followed by the Experts with 71.11% and all Users with 68.09%. (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)
Which group will be victorious this year? Meet the guy who won our contest to predict the Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar.
As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.
Photo: Kate Winslet in “Steve Jobs.” Credit: Francois Duhamel/Universal Pictures