2014 wasn’t a good year at the Oscars for women. All eight Best Picture nominees were primarily about men, and only one had a female co-lead (Felicity Jones in “The Theory of Everything“). Could the backlash over the lack of female representation boost the Best Actress chances for Carey Mulligan, who fights for women’s right to vote in “Suffragette,” or Jennifer Lawrence (“Joy“), who recently commented on Hollywood’s gender wage gap?
Lawrence isn’t the only one up in arms. In her Best Supporting Actress acceptance speech for “Boyhood,” Patricia Arquette also called for wage equality for women. Hollywood’s elite may have something to prove when it comes to gender parity, similar to how the 2013 candidacy for “12 Years a Slave” highlighted the academy’s need to embrace greater racial diversity. With several female-driven films in the running like “Joy,” “Carol,” “Room” and the explicitly feminist “Suffragette,” they’ll have multiple opportunities to do so.
As of this writing, two of the 20 Oscar experts we’ve polled predict a win for Lawrence, giving her odds of 5/1. None are predicting a win for Mulligan, but seven are predicting she’ll be nominated, giving her 18/1 odds.
Click the chart below for more detailed prediction stats:
Make your Oscar predictions beginning with Best Actress and you could earn a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting this year’s Oscar nominations).
Last year, our Top 24 Users led the way with an accuracy rate of 76.67% when it came to predicting the Oscar nominations. Next up were Gold Derby’s Editors with 74.44%, followed by the Experts with 71.11% and all Users with 68.09%. (Click on any of these groups to see what they got right and wrong last year.)
Which group will be victorious this year? Meet the guy who won our contest to predict the Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar.
As some of our Users turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, it’s important that you give us your predictions. Your picks influence our Users racetrack odds, which also factor into our official combined odds.
Photo: Jennifer Lawrence. Credit: Matt Baron/BEI/REX
Photo: Carey Mulligan in “Suffragette.” Credit: Moviestore/REX