Friday’s Eddie Awards, bestowed by the American Cinema Editors society, muddied the Best Picture race at the Oscars even more. Since 1990, the film that came up with an ACE has gone on to win the top prize at the Academy Awards 17 of 24 times. Our current Oscar frontrunner “Boyhood” won the drama cutting race.But it was “The Grand Budapest Hotel” — not the heavily favored “Birdman,” which had won with both the PGA and SAG last weekend and is rising in our odds for Best Picture — that claimed the comedy/musical trophy.
“Birdman,” which was cut so as to look like one continuous take, had been snubbed by the editors branch at the Oscars. However, our odds predicted it would prevail here over the Oscar-nominated “Grand Budapest,” as well as “Guardians of the Galaxy,” “Inherent Vice” and “Into the Woods.”
“Boyhood,” had been overwhelmingly tipped to take the drama editing race over three of its rivals for Best Editing at the Oscars — “American Sniper,” “The Imitation Game” and “Whiplash” — as well as “Gone Girl” and “Nightcrawler.”
In five of the seven years when the ACE barometer was wrong, an Eddie champ was at least a contender for Best Picture, including last year when both the drama winner (“Captain Phillips”) and the comedy/musical champ (“American Hustle”) were among the eight Best Picture nominees that lost to “12 Years a Slave.”
In 2007, neither of the Eddie winners — “The Bourne Ultimatum” nor “Sweeney Todd” — made the final five contenders for Best Picture at the Oscars and in 1999 the same fate befell “The Matrix” and “Being John Malkovich.”
ACE has a good track record as a Best Picture predictor and a great one for forecasting what will win Best Editing at the Oscars (19 out of 24 years). Indeed, we are predicting that “Boyhood” will win that Oscar race.
Thus, it is surprising that ACE is not all knowing when it comes to foreseeing the five nominees for Best Editing at the Oscars. Since 1992, when the Eddies went to five nominees from three, 101 of the 115 Oscar nominees for Editing had first reaped a Golden Eddie nod.
This year, all five Oscar nominees are in contention here first. Last year, four Eddie nominees went on to vie for Best Editing at the Oscars including eventual winner “Gravity” as well as ACE champs “American Hustle” and “Captain Phillips” as well as “12 Years a Slave.” The fifth Oscar nominee was “Dallas Buyers Club.”
In both 2012 and in 2011, five of the Eddie nominees comprised the Oscar slate. In 2010, four Eddie nominees contended at the Oscars (“127 Hours” got the fifth slot) while in 2009, only three of five ACE drama nominees — “Avatar,” “District 9” and “The Hurt Locker” — reaped Oscar bids with “Inglorious Basterds” and “Precious” added to the mix.
Although this track record appears impressive enough, ACE doubled its chances of getting it right when it split Dramas and Comedy/Musicals into separate kudos in 1999. Five years ago, the Comedy/Musical Eddie went to Stephen Schaffer for “Wall-E.” Schaffer — a 2004 nominee for “The Incredibles” — made history with this win as it was the first time an animated film had taken one of these kudos since they were first handed out back in 1950.
On the TV side, HBO dominated winning three awards: movie/mini (“The Normal Heart”), drama series – non/commercial (“True Detective”) and comedy series (“Veep”). PBS took two awards — series-commercial (“Sherlock”) and documentary (“The Roosevelts: An Intimate History” and CNN won non-scripted with “Anthony Bourdain’s Parts Unknown.”
Make your Oscars picks now — click here — or scroll down to predict the Best Film Editing winner using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Best predictions will win $1,000 prize. And the 24 Users with the best scores advance to a team to compete against our Experts and Editors next year. See who’s in our current Top 24 and their early Oscar predictions. Meet the guy who won our contest to predict Oscar nominations this year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar. Register/log in to your account so you can also compete to predict the BAFTAs, Grammys, “The Walking Dead,” “Celebrity Apprentice” and more.