“Big Hero 6” pulled off a shocking upset in the race for Best Animated Feature over the frontrunner “How to Train Your Dragon 2,” “Big Hero 6” had the support of just three Experts: Mike Cidoni (Associated Press), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), and Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly). It was in second place with odds of 11/2.
Contrast that to our 26 Oscars Experts who predicted “Dragon 2” would be the first DreamWorks computer-animated film to win the category since “Shrek” in 2001. The film was also predicted by six out of seven Editors, 17 of our Top 24 Users, and 73% of our overall Users.
Determining a winner based on the precursor awards was difficult. “The Lego Movie,” which won Best Animated Film at the BAFTAs, PGA Awards, and Critics’ Choice, wasn’t even nominated by the academy.
“Dragon 2” had won the Golden Globe and the Annie Award for Best Animated Feature. All but two Globe winners have repeated at the Oscars since the Hollywood Foreign Press established an animation category in 2006. But the Annie Awards are less often in sync with the academy. Indeed, the first “How to Train Your Dragon” film won the top Annie in 2010, but lost the Oscar to “Toy Story 3.”
“How to Train Your Dragon 2” was the 1/4 favorite with 26 Experts backing it: Thelma Adams (ZEALnyc), Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Kyle Buchanan (Vulture), Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Thom Geier, Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Mary Milliken (Reuters), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Claudia Puig (USA Today), Jenelle Riley (Variety), Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDb), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere), Glenn Whipp (LA Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).