Our Critics’ Choice contest winner says Michael Keaton will beat Eddie Redmayne at Oscars

“I’m not saying that Eddie Redmayne‘s role isn’t challenging, he is amazing,” says Gold Derby’s latest contest champ Gary Garla, who scored the best while predicting the 2014 Critics’ Choice Awards. “But I believe that Michael Keaton‘s role in ‘Birdman‘ is more challenging given the fact that his is an original character and he had to portray emotional and psychological issues without being able to watch tape or talk to the person.”

Garla, a 21-year-old IT worker/student from Chicago, earned the #1 position on our Critics’ Choice Awards leadeboard thanks to his 95% accuracy and 6,688 point score. His prize is a $100 Amazon gift certificate and a spot on Gold Derby’s winners list. (See all of Garla’s predictions here. To see how you scored, click here.) Below, read our entire Q&A with Garla.

Watch: Keaton reenacts stage fall in Critics’ Choice Awards press room

Of the 18 questions we asked, you only got one wrong. You predicted “Boyhood” would win Best Editing instead of “Birdman.” Are you still kicking yourself over that prediction?

Yes, I was kicking myself a bit. I honestly don’t know why I picked “Boyhood.” Out of the editing, my favorite was “Whiplash.”

Any special tips for predicting that you’d like to share with us?

I usually choose the acting categories by my favorite performances. This year Michael Keaton gave my favorite of the year, so I went with it. Plus, the whole long take situation.

Are you waning on any of the other three acting winners for the Oscars: Julianne Moore, Patricia Arquette or J.K. Simmons?

In the Best Actress race there are definitely other performance I think are better then Julianne’s (like Rosamund Pike), but I believe she is a lock considering she has won everything in her sight basically and it’s her time giving the fact she hasn’t won with so many brilliant performances. As for the supporting races, those are locked. I don’t think there is a chance anyone else takes the Oscar. None of those will change for me.

Critics’ Choice Awards: Complete list of winners

Do you usually do so well at making predictions at Gold Derby, or were the Critics’ Choice Awards just a fluke?

I usually do good in all my predictions except for TV stuff. The film awards I pretty much always get above 70%. For Critics’ Choice, I just went with my favorites in each category, except for Best Actress. I do the same for the Oscars if there is a close race. For example, I will be picking Michael Keaton for Best Actor.

Where do you stand on the Best Picture race at the Oscars? Who’s gonna win there?

I’m going with “Boyhood” for Best Picture. I loved this film so much and it brought back a lot of memories of growing up. I think it has a connection to everyone and that’s why I believe it will win. Plus, it has won pretty much everything and I think Richard Linklater can’t be beat.

Thanks Gary!

Make your own Oscars picks now — click here — or scroll down to predict the Best Actor winner using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Best predictions will win $1,000 prize. And the 24 Users with the best scores advance to a team to compete against our Experts and Editors next year. See who’s in our current Top 24 and their early Oscar predictions. Meet the guy who won our contest to predict Oscar nominations this year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar. Register/log in to your account so you can also compete to predict the BAFTAs, Grammys, “The Walking Dead,” “Celebrity Apprentice” and more.

4 thoughts on “Our Critics’ Choice contest winner says Michael Keaton will beat Eddie Redmayne at Oscars

  1. LMAO Michael Keaton had to watch Michael Keaton cause the character in Birdman is an exagerrated version of him and his own life – so that argument won’t tread water. I think Sag recognized that and that’s why Redmayne won. Also the academy can’t afford to have Moore and Keaton win – it looks too much like what young people already believe – you don’t have to be good to win just be older and they think they owe you one- basically reverse ageism. If that perception remains soon an Oscar won’t be worth jack

  2. A Keaton win will not happen. Eddie will win. Moore, Arquette and Simmons will win in their categories as well. I don’t see an upset coming at all. Inarritu will win Director and Boyhood will win Picture.

  3. Well, I guess people aren’t allowed to have opinions…jeez! I’ve watched both performances and I’m with Gary, I think Keaton gave the better performance. Redmayne’s performance, FOR ME, seemed forced and over the top. The constant smiling while having ALS also seemed a bit ridiculous. I have to admit that I definitely enjoyed Birdman much more than The Theory of Everything. TTOE seemed like a Lifetime movie on the big screen. Michael Keaton to me had to portray a few characters in the movie. 1. Keaton had to show a man who’s losing his edge on reality. 2 He had to play a somewhat mediocre actor on the stage. 3. He had to be the narcissistic voice in his head, Birdman. Don’t forget, he had to do this on minimal takes! Final analysis, Keaton was subtle while Redmayne was not. Now I’m sure all the Eddie lovers will thrash my opinion and that’s ok. It’s called an opinion people!
    Also, I’m not liking how Gold Derby has advertisements up for specific movies and not others. For example, The Theory of Everything has been constantly advertised at the top of this page for the past few weeks. I understand that movie studios pay the money to have advertisements and without ad revenue you can’t keep a site up, but this is extremely unfair to smaller/indie movies. It gives the studios that can afford it a big boost in swaying public opinion. Just my two cents!

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