All but three of our Oscar Experts predict that “Citizenfour” will win Best Documentary Feature, giving this film about Edward Snowden leading odds of 1/5. It would be the first win for director Laura Poitras. She lost her 2006 bid for “My Country, My Country” to Davis Guggenheim‘s “An Inconvenient Truth.”
Three of our Oscarologists disagree with the consensus. Jenelle Riley (Variety) and Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post) both predict Netflix’s doc “Virunga” as the likely winner. Detailing the attempts to protect African land and wildlife, the film gets 10/1 odds. And Tariq Khan (Fox News) forecasts an upset by “Finding Vivian Maier,” a probing look at a humble nanny who was discovered to be a prolific photographer after her death. It gets 20/1 odds.
“Citizenfour” has been amply honored this awards season, receiving Best Documentary from BAFTA, DGA, LA and NY film critics, the National Society of Film Critics, and the International Documentary Association.
While it wasn’t even nominated at the PGA Awards, that winner, “Life Itself,” isn’t in contention at the Oscars. “Citizenfour” was also absent from the WGA Awards, where the winner was another film missing from the academy’s lineup: “The Internet’s Own Boy.”
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