Producers Guild Awards nominations: ‘Boyhood,’ ‘Birdman’ and (surprise!) ‘Nightcrawler’

 

The Producers Guild of America announced its nominees for Best Picture on Monday: “American Sniper,” “Birdman,” “Boyhood,” “Foxcatcher,” “Gone Girl,” “The Grand Budapest Hotel,” “The Imitation Game,” “Nightcrawler,” “The Theory of Everything,” and “Whiplash.”

These mirror our forecast for the Best Picture lineup at the Oscars with two glaring exceptions:  the PGA snubbed third-ranked “Selma” and “Unbroken” (#8 on our chart) in favor of “American Sniper” (#13) and “Nightcrawler” (#14). Among the other films overlooked by the guild were two big box office hits: “Interstellar” and “Into the Woods.” That “Selma” and “Interstellar” were slighted could be down to voters not getting screeners from Paramount due to production delays.  

The guild and Oscars have agreed on the last seven Best Pictures in a row (though there was an unprecedented tie here last year between eventual Oscar winner “12 Years a Slave” and “Gravity”.) Key to the import of this precursor prize is that it picks a winner using the same kind of counting as the Oscars — the preferential ballot. 

UPDATEDExperts’ Oscars predictions in all 24 categories

The PGA also revealed the five nominees for Best Animated Feature: “Big Hero 6,” “The Book of Life,” “The Boxtrolls,” “How to Train Your Dragon 2” and “The Lego Movie.” This is our predicted line-up of potential Oscar nominees

And while most of the TV nominees were announced on Dec. 3, the PGA unveiled the contenders for TV Movie/Miniseries on Monday:  “American Horror Story: Freak Show,” “Fargo,” “The Normal Heart,” “The Roosevelts: An Intimate History” and “Sherlock.” 

Winners will be revealed during a Jan. 24 ceremony at the Beverly Hilton Hotel.

When the Oscars expanded to 10 nominees in 2009, the Producers Guild of American followed suit. And while the academy shifted to a sliding scale four years ago, the PGA stuck with 10 contenders. That has helped it maintain a staggering success rate at predicting the eventual Oscars roster with it previewing 40 of the 47 (i.e., 85%) of the Best Picture nominees.

Last year, eight of the PGA nominees made the cut with academy: eventual Best Picture winner “12 Years a Slave,” as well as “Gravity” (which had tied with it at the PGA), “American Hustle,” “Captain Phillips,”  “Dallas Buyers Club” “Her,” “Nebraska,” and “The Wolf of Wall Street.” The other two PGA contenders — “Blue Jasmine” and “Saving Mr. Banks” — were snubbed by the academy. Rather, Brit hit “Philomena” was the ninth Oscar nominee. 

In 2012, eight PGA nominees also reaped bids for the top Academy Award — “Argo,” “Beasts of the Southern Wild,” “Django Unchained,” “Life of Pi,” “Lincoln,” “Les Miserables,” “Silver Linings Playbook” and “Zero Dark Thirty.” Rounding out the roster at the PGA were “Moonrise Kingdom” and “Skyfall.” The guild snubbed the French-language “Amour,” which netted a Best Picture nod from the academy. “Argo” prevailed with the PGA before taking home the Oscar. 

In 2011, the PGA predicted seven of the eventual nine Best Picture contenders, including “The Artist” which won with both groups. The PGA filled out their slate with popular pictures “Bridesmaids,” “The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo” and “The Ides of March” while the Oscars went with “Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close” and “The Tree of Life.”

See latest Oscar rankings when the Experts’ predictions are combined

In 2010, the PGA foresaw nine of the eventual 10 Best Picture Oscar nominees. The guild went for “The Town” while the academy opted for “Winter’s Bone” for the tenth slot. Both groups chose “The King’s Speech” as the Best Picture of the year. 

And in 2009, the Oscars concurred with the PGA on eight of the 10 contenders. PGA nominated “Invictus” and “Star Trek” over Oscar choices “The Blind Side” and “A Serious Man.” Both groups picked as best pic “The Hurt Locker.”

What are your Oscars predictions? Make your picks now — click here — or scroll down to predict the Best Picture champ using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Best predictions will win $1,000 prize.  Register/log in to your account so you can also compete to predict the Golden Globes, Grammys, “Celebrity Apprentice,” “AHS: Freak Show” and more.

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