Oscars experts’ predictions: Eddie Redmayne jumps ahead of Michael Keaton

What a difference a SAG Award makes. According to the latest predictions of Oscars experts, Eddie Redmayne (“The Theory of Everything“) just leapt ahead of long-time frontrunnner Michael Keaton (“Birdman“) in the Best Actor race following Redmayne’s dramatic upset at the Screen Actors Guild Awards on Sunday. 

Redmayne is now backed by 10 of our 18 Oscarologists while Keaton has the support of 7 (down from a dozen just before the guild snubbed him). That gives Redmayne a slight edge in the odds: he is now at 9 to 10 to win for his portrayal of wheelchair-bound scientist Stephen Hawking while Keaton is at 13/8 for his performance as an actor on the comeback trail.

The 10 Experts touting Redmayne are: Thelma Adams (ZealNYC), Mike Cidoni (AP), Thom GeierTariq Khan (Fox News), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times), Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com) and me. 

The eight Experts in Keaton’s corner are: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Comingsoon), Michael Musto (Out.com), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Jenelle Riley (Variety), Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post) and Sasha Stone (Awards Daily).

Bradley Cooper has the vote of one Expert — Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood/ Indiewire),  — for his transformation into real-life Navy SEAL Chris Kyle in Clint Eastwood‘s smash hit “American Sniper.” He has odds of 14/1. 

Neither of the other two nominees — Benedict Cumberbatch (“The Imitation Game“) and Steve Carell (“Foxcatcher“) — has any first-place votes. Because of how each is ranked by the Experts, Cumberbatch is slightly ahead of Carell at 50/1 versus 100/1. 

See latest Oscar rankings when Experts’ predictions are combined

In the Best Picture race, “Boyhood” (2/3 odds) remains in front with the support of 12 of our 18 Experts despite losing to “Birdman” at the Producers Guild of America Awards on Saturday. For the past seven years in a row, the PGA champ has gone on to repeat at the Oscars.

However, “Boyhood” is down by one pundit from last week. “Birdman” — which won the top prizes at both the PGA and SAG awardsfests last weekend — now has five new boosters and has jumped into second place with odds of 27/10. Down from second to third place is The Grand Budapest Hotel” with one vote and odds of 16/1. “The Imitation Game” lost its one Expert vote and now sits in fourth (from third) with odds of 50/1. The other four nominees — “American Sniper,” “Selma,” “The Theory of Everything” and “Whiplash” — are all at 100/1. 

Click here to see charts revealing how all of our Experts rank the contenders in all top categories. Click on each underlined category below to see the individual Experts predictions for that race. And click here to see the rankings and odds generated by combining their predictions.Then make your own predictions here. Be the best and win bragging rights AND $1,000. 

Our Experts are predicting “Boyhood” to win four Academy Awards in all: Best Picture, Best Director (Richard Linklater), Supporting Actress (Patricia Arquette) and Editing. 

The Grand Budapest Hotel” is tipped to take three races: Original Screenplay, Costume Design and Production Design.

Interstellar” also is expected to earn three Oscars: Sound Editing, Sound Mixing and Visual Effects. 

“The Theory of Everything” is ahead for Best Actor (Redmayne) and Score. 

Still Alice” is predicted to win Best Actress for Julianne Moore while Whiplash” should net an Oscar for Best Supporting Actor J.K. Simmons.

The Imitation Game” is forecast for the win in Adapted Screenplay, “Birdman” will claim Cinematography, “Guardians of the Galaxy” is first for Makeup & Hairstyle and “Selma” sounds good for Song.

UPDATED: Experts’ Oscars predictions in all 24 categories

Below: The Experts’ latest collective rankings and odds for the top six categories (click on each category to see more detailed results). 

Best Picture
1. “Boyhood” – 2/7
2.  “Birdman”  – 27/10
3. “The Grand Budapest Hotel” – 16/1
4. “The Imitation Game” – 50/1
5. “American Sniper” – 100/1
6. “Selma” – 100/1
7. “The Theory of Everything” – 100/1
8. “Whiplash” – 100/1

Change from last week: “Boyhood” remains in first but its odds are down from 2/7. “Birdman” jumps into second from fourth (where it was at 50/1) while “The Grand Budapest Hotel” slips from second (and odds of 12/1) and “The Imitation Game” slides from third to fourth. 

Best Director
1. Richard Linklater, “Boyhood” – 2/7
2. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, “Birdman” – 9/2
3. Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel” – 50/1
4. Morten Tyldum, “The  Imitation Game” – 50/1
5. Bennett Miller, “Foxcatcher” – 100/1

Change from last week: Linklater is still in first but his odds have lengthened from 2/13 as Inarritu closes in (up dramatically from 10/1). 

Best Actor
1. Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything” – 9/10
2. Michael Keaton, “Birdman” – 13/8
3. Bradley Cooper, “American Sniper” – 14/1 
4. Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game” – 50/1
5. Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher” – 100/1

Change from last week: Keaton had been the overwhelming frontrunner at 1/3 while Redmayne was in second but still way back with odds of 4/1. Cooper has moved from fourth to third and seen his odds rise dramatically from 50/1. 

There have been no changes in rankings or odds in the other three acting races. 

Best Actress
1. Julianne Moore, “Still Alice” – 1/10
2. Reese Witherspoon, “Wild” – 50/1
3. Rosamund PIke, “Gone Girl” – 50/1
4. Marion Cotillard, “Two Days, One Night” – 50/1
5. Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything” – 50/1

Best Supporting Actor
1. J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash” – 1/10
2. Edward Norton, “Birdman” – 33/1
3. Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood” – 50/1
4. Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher” – 100/1
5.Robert Duvall, “The Judge” – 100/1

Best Supporting Actress
1. Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood” – 1/10
2. Emma Stone, “Birdman” – 33/1
3. Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game” – 50/1
4. Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods” – 100/1
5. Laura Dern, “Wild” – 100/1

What are your Oscar predictions? Make your picks now — click here — or scroll down to predict the Best Picture champ using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Best predictions will win $1,000 prize. And the 24 Users with the best scores advance to a team to compete against our Experts and Editors next year. See who’s in our current Top 24 and their early Oscar predictions. Meet the guy who won our contest to predict Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar. Register/log in to your account so you can also compete to predict the BAFTAs, Grammys, “The Walking Dead,” “AHS: Freak Show” and more.

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