SAG Awards upsets may be triggered by DVD screeners

Considering Julianne Moore‘s overwhelming odds to win Best Actress at the Screen Actors Guild Awards, it may be preposterous to suggest, but, believe it or not, Felicity Jones or Jennifer Aniston could pull off an upset due to a quirk of their campaigns.

The full membership of SAG received DVDs of “The Theory of Everything” and “Cake,” but did not get one of “Still Alice.” Instead, the latter was made available to voters to view via digital download or on-line streaming just like “Birdman,” “Boyhood,” “Foxcatcher,” “The Grand Budapest Hotel,” “Gone Girl,” “The Imitation Game,” “Nightcrawler,” “St. Vincent,” “Whiplash,” “Wild” and, yes, “The Theory of Everything” and “Cake,” too.

History has shown that nominees have an edge at SAG if their DVDs are shipped to all voters, which is an expensive outreach considering there are more than 120,000 guild members. This year DVDs of the following were sent to the full membership: “Birdman,” “Boyhood,” “The Imitation Game” and “The Judge” in addition to “Theory of Everything” and “Cake.”

Hmmm … does the absence of “The Grand Budapest Hotel” mean “Birdman” has the edge for the Best Ensemble prize? Maybe not. “Budapest” was widely seen at cineplexes ($59 million U.S. box office) and industry screenings and it’s been playing on HBO for a while.

Voters did not receive DVD screeners of any TV contenders, but they could watch “Orphan Black” and “The Honorable Woman” on line.

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