At this year’s Screen Actors Guild Awards, Gold Derby’s odds-makers are expecting a rerun of the Emmy awards in the top three dramatic races, as “Game of Thrones” is predicted to win Best TV Drama Ensemble, Jon Hamm (“Mad Men”) will prevail as Best TV Drama Actor and Viola Davis (“How to Get Away with Murder”) will repeat as Best TV Drama Actress.
According to exclusive Gold Derby odds that are derived from the predictions made by our Editors (website staff editors), Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who did the best predicting last year’s nominations) and other Users just like you, “Game of Thrones” is in first place to win the TV race with leading 14/5 odds.
Despite the show’s massive, worldly cast, this HBO fantasy epic has never won Best Drama Ensemble at the SAG Awards despite three previous nominations in 2011 (lost to “Boardwalk Empire”), 2013 (lost to “Breaking Bad”) and 2014 (lost to “Downton Abbey”).
The success of English favorite “Downton Abbey” may continue this year, as it’s in second place with 11/2 odds to win its third ensemble trophy following victories in 2012 and 2014.
Other top contenders for Best TV Drama Ensemble: “Mad Men” and “House of Cards” are tied for third place with 15/2 odds apiece, “Empire” is in fifth place with 11/1 odds and “Homeland” is in sixth place with 16/1 odds. SEE MORE
Hamm has leading 7/2 odds to win Best Drama Actor, with his closest rival being last year’s champ Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards”) with 9/2 odds. Surprisingly, Hamm has five prior SAG nominations but has never claimed an individual trophy, though he’s won twice along with his “Mad Men” cast in 2008 and 2009. Last year was Spacey’s first television victory, though he previously won twice for “American Beauty” (1999) — individual and ensemble — over on the film side.
Other top contenders for Best TV Drama Actor: Peter Dinklage (“Game of Thrones”) is in third place with 13/2 odds, Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”) is in fourth place with 8/1 odds and Jonathan Banks (“Better Call Saul”) is in fifth place with 16/1 odds. SEE MORE
Davis is a SAG favorite; she won last year for the first season of “How to Get Away with Murder” and twice for “The Help” (2011) — individual and ensemble — four years ago. She now has leading 14/5 odds to repeat, though second-place contender Taraji P. Henson (“Empire”) at 11/2 odds is hoping to take Davis down by winning her first-ever SAG trophy.
Other top contenders for Best TV Drama Actress: Claire Danes (“Homeland”) is in third place with 15/2 odds, Robin Wright (“House of Cards”) is in fourth place with 17/2 odds and Maggie Smith (“Downton Abbey”) is in fifth place with 12/1 odds. SEE MORE
Nominations for the 22nd SAG Awards will be announced by Anna Faris (“Mom”) and Anthony Mackie (“Captain America: The Winter Soldier”) on Wednesday at 7 a.m. PT / 10 a.m. ET.
What do you think will win Best Drama Ensemble at the SAG Awards? Make your predictions beginning with this category at the bottom of this post and you could earn a place of honor on our leaderboard and a starring role in next year’s Top 24 Users (the two dozen folks who do the best predicting last year’s SAG nominations).
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‘Game of Thrones’ Photo Credit: HBO
Hamm Photo Credit: AMC
Davis Photo Credit: ABC/Bob D’Amico