"So You Think You Can Dance" ends its 12th season Monday, when we'll learn which of the top four contestants will be named America's favorite dancer: Gaby Diaz, Virgil Gadson, Hailee Payne or Jaja Vankova. According to our users' predictions, Vankova will win. She gets 21/20 odds based on support from 49% of users, but her victory isn't as certain as it once seemed to be. Diaz follows close behind with 11/8 odds and support from 42% of users. Gadson trails with 20/1 odds and the backing of 5% of users, while Payne gets 25/1 odds with just 4% predicting her to win.
Our users have been forecasting a Vankova victory ever since "Top 16 Week." But in "Top 8 Week," Diaz began to pick up steam, and by "Top 6" they were tied in our racetrack odds, but Vankova has since pulled ahead again. Are we right? In our recent reader poll, 56% of respondents said they would prefer Diaz to win over Vankova; if voters felt the same way, we could be looking at an upset.
But there's another contest underway here at Gold Derby. Since live shows began, we've been predicting the results of the competition, and after 10 weeks user Michael Jenkins, aka "EmmyLoser," stands atop our leaderboard with 57% accuracy. Next in line with a score of 46% is Denton Davidson, who won our predictions contest for season 11 last summer. Two more users are tied at 46%: John Benutty and JB.
But none of those top four users are predicting a win for frontrunner Vankova. Three of them – Jenkins, Benutty and JB – are predicting Diaz, while Davidson is going out on a limb for Gadson, who left a strong last impression with a hip-hop routine that sent the judges leaping from their seats. Will that be enough for Gadson to overtake this season's leading ladies? Davidson sure hopes so, especially if it helps him make up ground in our predictions contest.
Who do you think will win tonight? Click on our predictions chart below to see more detailed stats about the final four:
And click on the chart below to see the predictions results of all our users. Are you on the leaderboard? Do you think you know better than our top users how the top four will place tonight?
At the end of the night, the eligible user with the highest prediction accuracy and most points will win a $100 Amazon gift certificate, so don't forget to make/update your predictions.
Which contestant do you like (and dislike) the most? Are you rooting for a Team Stage or Team Street dancer to prevail? Sound off in the comments section below, and join the discussion in Gold Derby's reality TV forum.
Photo: Top four in "So You Think You Can Dance." Credit: FOX