Now that we've seen almost all major Oscar contenders, it's time for Gold Derby editors to make a brutally frank assessment of the Best Picture race. Is "Spotlight" really ahead, as our Experts overwhelmingly predict? Gold Derby's managing editor Chris Beachum and I say yes, but we agree there are many strong rival ponies in play. Our executive editor Paul Sheehan picks one of them to prevail: "The Revenant." Why?