“At this point in time, I think Mike Holloway could win the whole thing,” says Gold Derby’s latest “Survivor” contest champ Lauren Pataky (screen name Lauren57), who won $100 predicting last week’s episode. Hurry — make your own predictions and you could win our weekly prize of a $100 Amazon gift certificate. It’s fun and easy, so start now by scrolling down and predicting who will be eliminated next.
Pataky is 19 years old and hails from San Francisco, CA, where she’s a student. As for why she thinks Mike has the edge to win, she explains, “The Blues have shown they will vote together, so I think it will ultimately come down to a group of them. By the time someone is smart enough to orchestrate a potential blindside on Mike, he has his idol, and I think it could be too late in the game to get him out after a failed first attempt. If the other Blues and Tyler Fredrickson and Carolyn Rivera are ignorant enough to let him get too far, he could definitely take it.”
Pataky won last week’s episode contest for being the only person to reap perfect 100% accuracy when predicting Episode 8, titled “Keep it Real.” Her winning predictions were that Hali Ford would be eliminated, that Joe Anglim would win both the Reward and Immunity challenges and that a hidden Immunity idol would not be played.
Does Pataky have any secret to making predictions at Gold Derby? “I typically base my predictions not only on previous episodes, but also all the previews and behind the scenes videos that CBS releases as well as interviews with cast members that have been previously voted out. For this week, CBS really hyped up the idol craze, so I anticipated somebody would find an idol but not play one. If someone was going to orchestrate a great idol blindside like Jenn Brown did last week, this would have been kept a surprise.”
As for how she knew that Joe would win both challenges, Pataky explains, “Joe is so physically dominant and has challenge prowess, with his only consistent challenge threats being Mike and Jenn. Thus, I gambled and decided he could win both Reward and Immunity.”
“Hali was a logical pick to go home this week,” Pataky says of her correct elimination prediction (see last week’s chart to the left). “The Blue Collars, along with Carolyn and Tyler, have been eager to break up the explicit alliance between Joe, Jenn and Hali. With Joe off the table, I thought Hali would be their next pick. Jenn proved herself to be a gamer last week, but I still think she’s underestimated and she wasn’t an immediate target. I didn’t think they thought she was a big enough threat to go after her two weeks in a row, so they would go after Hali instead, as they did. This still breaks up the threesome and cuts the Jenn/Hali power couple in half.”
How does Pataky size up Season 30? “This season has been entertaining, and I have thoroughly enjoyed the theme as well as this group of people, with a couple notable exceptions. It’s been very interesting to see the strategy evolve after the merge, since the players have more allegiance to their original tribes (because of their similar lifestyles) than usual. What’s great about this season is that this is clearly a group of gamers, and watching some of their big moves has been great. On the other hand, the same group of gamers will turn around and be so incredibly ignorant in their game play that it can be frustrating as a viewer. For example, do Tyler and Carolyn really think the Blue Collars will turn against each other to take either of them to the end? Highly unlikely. Yet, Tyler and Carolyn keep voting with the Blues, dwindling the number of Whites and Reds that could possibly side with them.”
Whose torch do you think will be snuffed next? There’s still time to visit our predictions center and make/update your forecasts before voting closes Wednesday at 5 p.m. PT. Don’t forget, the user with the highest prediction accuracy and most points will win a $100 Amazon gift certificate.
Where do you fall on our overall Season 30 leaderboard?
After a hard-fought battle between Taloson and Smartdude for first place, Taloson finally took the lead this week. His overall prediction accuracy is 69%, followed by Smartdude in second place with 66% accuracy. Benutty is tied at 66%, but his point score (55,049) is lower than Smartdude’s (77,369) so that’s why Benutty is in our #3 position.
Fourth place goes to Sunhound with 59% accuracy, fifth place is JasonNolette with 53% accuracy and sixth place is Dfranco with 50% accuracy.
Can YOU beat these frontrunners to win our prizes? Then be sure to take part in our “Survivor” prediction contest. We’re giving away $100 Amazon gift certificates to our weekly winners plus at season’s end. The deadline for each episode is Wednesday at 5 p.m. PT.
Our current overall leader Taloson didn’t even have Hali in his predictions to get the boot this week (see complete predix). However, he did so well at predicting previous “Survivor” episodes that he’s now the #1 reader to take down, proving that it’s possible to do well in our contests without getting everything right.
Remember that coming out on top doesn’t just mean answering that week’s questions correctly. You also have to use your three big bets (500 points and two of 200 points) strategically to score the most game points. If you bet on a longshot who pulls off an upset, you can really rack up the points, so don’t take them for granted.
To vote for who think will go home next on “Survivor,” drag contestants over from the left to the right and arrange them in your predicted order. For example, if you think Jenn will be eliminated, make sure you put her in first place. You can continue to update and change your predictions throughout the week, just click “Save Predictions” when you’ve settled on your choice.
Average Gold Derby users just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. You can change them later as often as you like.
We are forecasting everything from the results on TV shows like “The Voice,” “Survivor,” “Dancing with the Stars,” “American Idol” and “The Amazing Race” to the winners of the Emmys (Primetime and Daytime) and Tonys.
Get started by making your prediction as to which castaway will be eliminated next using our easy drag-and-drop menu below our exit interview with Hali. And be sure to sound off on the current season of “Survivor” in Gold Derby’s reality TV forum.